Predictions › United States › Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs
NBAFri 23 Oct, 21:30 United States time

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs prediction

Moody Center

Houston RocketsAway
109.9 : 115.5
projected points
San Antonio SpursHome
33%Rockets
67%Spurs
Eagle safe pickSpurs to win
-230

Quick answer

Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 67% chance. We project Houston Rockets 109.9 and San Antonio Spurs 115.5. Our best bet is Spurs to win at -230.

Prediction
San Antonio Spurs to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Houston Rockets 110, San Antonio Spurs 116
Projected total
225.4 points
Best bet
Spurs to win at -230

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Spurs to win
67% chancePrice -2301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Antonio Spurs 67% and Houston Rockets 33%. The bookmakers agree and make San Antonio Spurs the favourite at -230.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Antonio Spurs won 0 of their last 5 and Houston Rockets won 3 of their last 5. Houston Rockets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Antonio Spurs won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Houston Rockets won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San Antonio Spurs score 112.2 points a game and let in 107.6. Houston Rockets score 115.5 and let in 109.1. Their recent games average 219.8 and 224.6 points in total, and the market line is 225.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, San Antonio Spurs won 3 and Houston Rockets won 1. The last one ended San Antonio Spurs 145, Houston Rockets 120.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Spurs to win has a 67% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Spursrest between games-5%
  • Rocketsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs: San Antonio Spurs are favourites

The big picture

San Antonio Spurs host Houston Rockets in the NBA on Fri 23 Oct, 21:30 at Moody Center. Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 67% chance. We project Houston Rockets 109.9 and San Antonio Spurs 115.5. Our best bet is Spurs to win at -230.

San Antonio Spurs form

San Antonio Spurs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2244 points scored and 2152 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Houston Rockets form

Houston Rockets have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2310 points scored and 2182 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. San Antonio Spurs won 3, Houston Rockets won 1. Last time out it finished San Antonio Spurs 145, Houston Rockets 120.

Our call

We expect Houston Rockets to score about 109.9 points and San Antonio Spurs about 115.5. That points to San Antonio Spurs to win. Our safest bet is Spurs to win at -230.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SpursRockets
Games played2020
Wins912
Losses118
Points scored22442310
Points conceded21522182
Scored per game112.2115.5
Conceded per game107.6109.1
Home record4W 5L6W 4L
Away record5W 6L6W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Spurs to win67%-206-230-3.4%
Rockets to win31%+221+190-9.7%
Spurs -6.546%+117-118-14.8%
Rockets +6.550%-101-102-0.3%
Over 225.5 points48%+108-110-8.2%
Under 225.5 points48%+107-110-7.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Spurs spreadCoversFair
Spurs -11.532%+214
Spurs -8.541%+145
Spurs -5.550%-101
Spurs -2.560%-149
Spurs +0.569%-220
Total pointsOverUnder
219.563%37%
222.556%44%
225.550%50%
228.543%57%
231.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Spurs +3.5 wins if Spurs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs?

Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 67% chance. We project Houston Rockets 109.9 and San Antonio Spurs 115.5. Our best bet is Spurs to win at -230.

What is the projected score for Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs?

We project Houston Rockets 109.9 and San Antonio Spurs 115.5, about 225.4 points in total.

How are San Antonio Spurs playing?

San Antonio Spurs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2244 points scored and 2152 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Houston Rockets playing?

Houston Rockets have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2310 points scored and 2182 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when San Antonio Spurs and Houston Rockets last met?

It ended San Antonio Spurs 145, Houston Rockets 120. In the last 4 meetings San Antonio Spurs won 3 and Houston Rockets won 1.

What is the best bet for Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs?

Spurs to win at -230, with a 67% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Spurs against Rockets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.