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Predictions › Chile › Huachipato vs La Serena
Chilean Primera DivisionSun 1 Nov, 15:00 Chile time

Huachipato vs La Serena prediction

Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero

HuachipatoHome
1.77 : 1.69
expected goals
La SerenaAway
40%Huachipato
24%Draw
36%La Serena
Eagle safe pickBoth teams to score
1.46

Quick answer

Our prediction for Huachipato vs La Serena is Huachipato to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at 1.46.

Prediction
Huachipato to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Huachipato 1.8, La Serena 1.7
Best bet
Both teams to score at 1.46
Both teams to score
68%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Both teams to score
68% chanceFair price 1.461 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Huachipato to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Huachipato 40%, the draw 24% and La Serena 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Huachipato took 10 points from their last 5 games and La Serena took 7 from 5. Huachipato come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Huachipato won 4 of their last 10 games at home. La Serena won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Huachipato score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.8. La Serena score 1.6 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Huachipato games and 13 of La Serena games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Huachipato won 0 and La Serena won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended La Serena 0, Huachipato 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Both teams to score has a 68% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Huachipatorecent form+1%
  • La Serenarecent form+1%
Huachipato form D W W D LLa Serena form D L W W DHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Huachipato vs La Serena: Huachipato shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Huachipato host La Serena in the Chilean Primera Division on Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 at Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero. Our prediction for Huachipato vs La Serena is Huachipato to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at 1.46.

Huachipato form

Huachipato have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

La Serena form

La Serena have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Huachipato won 0, La Serena won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished La Serena 0, Huachipato 0.

Our call

We expect Huachipato to score about 1.8 goals and La Serena about 1.7. That points to Huachipato to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Both teams to score at 1.46. Our bold bet is Huachipato to win and Over 2.5 at 3.44.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HuachipatoLa Serena
Games played2020
Wins77
Draws47
Losses96
Goals scored2733
Goals conceded3636
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.81.8
Home record4W 2D 4L4W 2D 3L
Away record3W 2D 5L3W 5D 3L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.49
Over 3.5 goals46%2.20
Both teams to score68%1.46
Huachipato or Draw64%1.57
La Serena or Draw60%1.67
Huachipato to win and Over 2.530%3.32
La Serena to win and Over 2.527%3.67
Huachipato clean sheet18%5.41
La Serena clean sheet17%5.90

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.0%
2-18.3%
1-27.9%
2-27.0%
1-05.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Huachipato vs La Serena?

Our prediction for Huachipato vs La Serena is Huachipato to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at 1.46.

What is the score prediction for Huachipato vs La Serena?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Huachipato to score 1.8 goals and La Serena 1.7.

Will both teams score in Huachipato vs La Serena?

Both teams to score has a 68% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Huachipato last 20 games and 12 of La Serena last 20.

How are Huachipato playing?

Huachipato have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

How are La Serena playing?

La Serena have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Huachipato and La Serena last met?

It ended La Serena 0, Huachipato 0. In the last 1 meeting Huachipato won 0 and La Serena won 0.

What is the best bet for Huachipato vs La Serena?

Both teams to score at 1.46, with a 68% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Huachipato against La Serena. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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