Predictions › Chile › Huachipato vs O'Higgins

Chilean Primera DivisionSat 10 Oct, 20:30 Chile time

Huachipato vs O'Higgins prediction

Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero

HuachipatoHome

1.42 : 1.59

expected goals

O'HigginsAway

34%Huachipato

26%Draw

41%O'Higgins

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Huachipato vs O'Higgins is O'Higgins to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction: O'Higgins to win
Chance: 41%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Huachipato 1.4, O'Higgins 1.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

O'Higgins to win and Over 2.5

27% chanceFair price 3.741 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Huachipato 34%, the draw 26% and O'Higgins 41%. The bookmakers agree and make O'Higgins the favourite at 2.35.
2
Recent form
Huachipato took 4 points from their last 5 games and O'Higgins took 4 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Huachipato won 4 of their last 11 games at home. O'Higgins won 3 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Huachipato score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.9. O'Higgins score 1.1 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Huachipato games and 9 of O'Higgins games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Huachipato won 1 and O'Higgins won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended O'Higgins 0, Huachipato 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Huachipatorecent form-3%
O'Higginsrecent form+1%

Huachipato form W D L L LO'Higgins form W W L W LHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Huachipato vs O'Higgins: O'Higgins shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Huachipato host O'Higgins in the Chilean Primera Division on Sat 10 Oct, 20:30 at Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero. Our prediction for Huachipato vs O'Higgins is O'Higgins to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Huachipato form

Huachipato have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

O'Higgins form

O'Higgins have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Huachipato won 1, O'Higgins won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished O'Higgins 0, Huachipato 2.

Our call

We expect Huachipato to score about 1.4 goals and O'Higgins about 1.6. That points to O'Higgins to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is O'Higgins to win and Over 2.5 at 3.74.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Huachipato	O'Higgins
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	7
Draws	4	3
Losses	10	10
Goals scored	26	23
Goals conceded	39	30
Scored per game	1.3	1.1
Conceded per game	1.9	1.5
Home record	4W 2D 5L	4W 0D 5L
Away record	2W 2D 5L	3W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Both teams scored	55%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Huachipato to win	32%	3.13	2.75	-12.1%
A Draw	25%	4.03	3.35	-16.8%
O'Higgins to win	38%	2.64	2.35	-10.9%
Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.95	1.71	-12.0%
Under 2.5 goals	42%	2.37	1.95	-17.5%
Huachipato +0.5	56%	1.80	1.53	-15.1%
O'Higgins -0.5	38%	2.64	2.20	-16.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.24
Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.73
Over 3.5 goals	35%	2.82
Both teams to score	61%	1.64
Huachipato or Draw	59%	1.69
O'Higgins or Draw	66%	1.50
Huachipato to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.50
O'Higgins to win and Over 2.5	28%	3.63
Huachipato clean sheet	20%	4.90
O'Higgins clean sheet	24%	4.14

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.8%

1-28.8%

2-17.9%

0-17.2%

1-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Huachipato vs O'Higgins?

Our prediction for Huachipato vs O'Higgins is O'Higgins to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Huachipato vs O'Higgins?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Huachipato to score 1.4 goals and O'Higgins 1.6.

Will both teams score in Huachipato vs O'Higgins?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Huachipato last 20 games and 9 of O'Higgins last 20.

How are Huachipato playing?

How are O'Higgins playing?

What happened when Huachipato and O'Higgins last met?

It ended O'Higgins 0, Huachipato 2. In the last 1 meeting Huachipato won 1 and O'Higgins won 0.

What is the best bet for Huachipato vs O'Higgins?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Huachipato against O'Higgins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.