Predictions › Argentina › Huracán vs Aldosivi

Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 4 Oct, 17:45 Argentina time

Huracán vs Aldosivi prediction

Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó

HuracánHome

1.49 : 0.73

expected goals

AldosiviAway

55%Huracán

28%Draw

18%Aldosivi

Eagle safe pickHuracán or Draw

1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Huracán vs Aldosivi is Huracán to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Huracán or Draw at 1.25.

Prediction: Huracán to win
Chance: 55%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Huracán 1.5, Aldosivi 0.7
Best bet: Huracán or Draw at 1.25
Both teams to score: 41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Huracán or Draw

80% chanceFair price 1.252 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Huracán to win and Over 2.5

26% chanceFair price 3.831 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Huracán 55%, the draw 28% and Aldosivi 18%. The bookmakers agree and make Huracán the favourite at 1.69.
2
Recent form
Huracán took 9 points from their last 5 games and Aldosivi took 6 from 5. Huracán come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Huracán won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Aldosivi won 0 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Huracán score 1.1 goals a game and let in 0.8. Aldosivi score 0.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Huracán games and 7 of Aldosivi games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Huracán won 0 and Aldosivi won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Aldosivi 0, Huracán 0.
6
The safest bet
Huracán or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Huracán recent form+3%
Aldosivirecent form-1%

Huracán form W W D D DAldosivi form W L W L LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Huracán vs Aldosivi: Huracán are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Huracán host Aldosivi in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 4 Oct, 17:45 at Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó. Our prediction for Huracán vs Aldosivi is Huracán to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Huracán or Draw at 1.25.

Huracán form

Huracán have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Aldosivi form

Aldosivi have 2 wins, 7 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Huracán won 0, Aldosivi won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Aldosivi 0, Huracán 0.

Our call

We expect Huracán to score about 1.5 goals and Aldosivi about 0.7. That points to Huracán to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Huracán or Draw at 1.25. Our bold bet is Huracán to win and Over 2.5 at 3.83.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Huracán	Aldosivi
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	2
Draws	8	7
Losses	5	11
Goals scored	22	16
Goals conceded	17	29
Scored per game	1.1	0.8
Conceded per game	0.8	1.4
Home record	3W 4D 2L	2W 5D 3L
Away record	4W 4D 3L	0W 2D 8L
Clean sheets	40%	20%
Both teams scored	50%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Huracán to win	51%	1.94	1.69	-13.0%
A Draw	27%	3.74	3.35	-10.5%
Aldosivi to win	18%	5.69	5.25	-7.6%
Over 1.5 goals	62%	1.62	1.48	-8.9%
Under 1.5 goals	35%	2.90	2.40	-17.2%
Huracán -0.5	52%	1.91	1.63	-15.0%
Aldosivi +0.5	41%	2.41	2.05	-15.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	66%	1.52
Over 2.5 goals	38%	2.62
Over 3.5 goals	18%	5.44
Both teams to score	41%	2.45
Huracán or Draw	82%	1.21
Aldosivi or Draw	45%	2.20
Huracán to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.69
Aldosivi to win and Over 2.5	7%	13.36
Huracán clean sheet	48%	2.08
Aldosivi clean sheet	23%	4.42

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-015.5%

1-112.5%

2-012.0%

0-011.6%

2-18.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Huracán vs Aldosivi?

Our prediction for Huracán vs Aldosivi is Huracán to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Huracán or Draw at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Huracán vs Aldosivi?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Huracán to score 1.5 goals and Aldosivi 0.7.

Will both teams score in Huracán vs Aldosivi?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Huracán last 20 games and 11 of Aldosivi last 20.

How are Huracán playing?

How are Aldosivi playing?

What happened when Huracán and Aldosivi last met?

It ended Aldosivi 0, Huracán 0. In the last 2 meetings Huracán won 0 and Aldosivi won 1.

What is the best bet for Huracán vs Aldosivi?

Huracán or Draw at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Huracán against Aldosivi. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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