Predictions › Argentina › Huracán vs Gimnasia La Plata

Argentina Liga ProfesionalThu 15 Oct, 23:00 Argentina time

Huracán vs Gimnasia La Plata prediction

Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó

HuracánHome

1.07 : 0.84

expected goals

Gimnasia La PlataAway

40%Huracán

33%Draw

27%Gimnasia LP

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Huracán vs Gimnasia La Plata is Huracán to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction: Huracán to win
Chance: 40%
Most likely score: 0-0
Expected goals: Huracán 1.1, Gimnasia La Plata 0.8
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score: 38%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

85% chanceFair price 1.182 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0

16% chanceFair price 6.411 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Huracán 40%, the draw 33% and Gimnasia La Plata 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Huracán took 11 points from their last 5 games and Gimnasia La Plata took 9 from 5. Huracán come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Huracán won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Gimnasia La Plata won 5 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Huracán score 1.1 goals a game and let in 0.8. Gimnasia La Plata score 1.3 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Huracán games and 10 of Gimnasia La Plata games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Huracán won 1 and Gimnasia La Plata won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Gimnasia La Plata 0, Huracán 3.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Huracán recent form+4%
Gimnasia LPrecent form+3%

Huracán form W W W D DGimnasia LP form D D D W WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Huracán vs Gimnasia La Plata: Huracán shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Huracán host Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Thu 15 Oct, 23:00 at Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó. Our prediction for Huracán vs Gimnasia La Plata is Huracán to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Huracán form

Huracán have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Gimnasia La Plata form

Gimnasia La Plata have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Huracán won 1, Gimnasia La Plata won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Gimnasia La Plata 0, Huracán 3.

Our call

We expect Huracán to score about 1.1 goals and Gimnasia La Plata about 0.8. That points to Huracán to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.41.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Huracán	Gimnasia LP
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	10
Draws	8	3
Losses	4	7
Goals scored	22	25
Goals conceded	15	26
Scored per game	1.1	1.3
Conceded per game	0.8	1.3
Home record	4W 4D 1L	5W 1D 3L
Away record	4W 4D 3L	5W 2D 4L
Clean sheets	45%	30%
Both teams scored	45%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	35%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	58%	1.73
Over 2.5 goals	30%	3.34
Over 3.5 goals	13%	7.87
Both teams to score	38%	2.62
Huracán or Draw	73%	1.37
Gimnasia La Plata or Draw	60%	1.66
Huracán to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.18
Gimnasia La Plata to win and Over 2.5	10%	9.61
Huracán clean sheet	43%	2.31
Gimnasia La Plata clean sheet	34%	2.93

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-015.6%

1-015.1%

1-114.1%

0-111.6%

2-08.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Huracán vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Our prediction for Huracán vs Gimnasia La Plata is Huracán to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Huracán vs Gimnasia La Plata?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Huracán to score 1.1 goals and Gimnasia La Plata 0.8.

Will both teams score in Huracán vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Both teams to score has a 38% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Huracán last 20 games and 10 of Gimnasia La Plata last 20.

How are Huracán playing?

How are Gimnasia La Plata playing?

What happened when Huracán and Gimnasia La Plata last met?

It ended Gimnasia La Plata 0, Huracán 3. In the last 1 meeting Huracán won 1 and Gimnasia La Plata won 0.

What is the best bet for Huracán vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Huracán against Gimnasia LP. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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