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Predictions › Sweden › IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjällby AIF
AllsvenskanSun 8 Nov, 15:30 Sweden time

IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjällby AIF prediction

Grimsta IP

IF BrommapojkarnaHome
1.15 : 1.26
expected goals
Mjällby AIFAway
33%Brommapojkar
29%Draw
38%Mjällby
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjällby AIF is Mjällby AIF to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Mjällby AIF to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
IF Brommapojkarna 1.1, Mjällby AIF 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives IF Brommapojkarna 33%, the draw 29% and Mjällby AIF 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    IF Brommapojkarna took 7 points from their last 5 games and Mjällby AIF took 5 from 5. IF Brommapojkarna come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    IF Brommapojkarna won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Mjällby AIF won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    IF Brommapojkarna score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Mjällby AIF score 0.9 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of IF Brommapojkarna games and 7 of Mjällby AIF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, IF Brommapojkarna won 0 and Mjällby AIF won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Mjällby AIF 3, IF Brommapojkarna 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Brommapojkarrest between games-5%
Brommapojkar form D W L W LMjällby form D D L W DHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjällby AIF: Mjällby AIF shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

IF Brommapojkarna host Mjällby AIF in the Allsvenskan on Sun 8 Nov, 15:30 at Grimsta IP. Our prediction for IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjällby AIF is Mjällby AIF to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

IF Brommapojkarna form

IF Brommapojkarna have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Mjällby AIF form

Mjällby AIF have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. IF Brommapojkarna won 0, Mjällby AIF won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Mjällby AIF 3, IF Brommapojkarna 0.

Our call

We expect IF Brommapojkarna to score about 1.1 goals and Mjällby AIF about 1.3. That points to Mjällby AIF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BrommapojkarMjällby
Games played2020
Wins72
Draws58
Losses810
Goals scored2919
Goals conceded3235
Scored per game1.40.9
Conceded per game1.61.8
Home record4W 3D 4L2W 2D 7L
Away record3W 2D 4L0W 6D 3L
Clean sheets20%10%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals60%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.43
Over 2.5 goals43%2.31
Over 3.5 goals22%4.48
Both teams to score50%2.01
IF Brommapojkarna or Draw62%1.61
Mjällby AIF or Draw67%1.49
IF Brommapojkarna to win and Over 2.517%5.75
Mjällby AIF to win and Over 2.520%4.92
IF Brommapojkarna clean sheet28%3.51
Mjällby AIF clean sheet32%3.17

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%
0-110.5%
0-09.8%
1-09.6%
1-28.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjällby AIF?

Our prediction for IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjällby AIF is Mjällby AIF to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjällby AIF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect IF Brommapojkarna to score 1.1 goals and Mjällby AIF 1.3.

Will both teams score in IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjällby AIF?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of IF Brommapojkarna last 20 games and 11 of Mjällby AIF last 20.

How are IF Brommapojkarna playing?

IF Brommapojkarna have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Mjällby AIF playing?

Mjällby AIF have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when IF Brommapojkarna and Mjällby AIF last met?

It ended Mjällby AIF 3, IF Brommapojkarna 0. In the last 2 meetings IF Brommapojkarna won 0 and Mjällby AIF won 2.

What is the best bet for IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjällby AIF?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Brommapojkar against Mjällby. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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