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Predictions › Sweden › IF Elfsborg vs Halmstads BK
AllsvenskanMon 12 Oct, 17:00 Sweden time

IF Elfsborg vs Halmstads BK prediction

Boras Arena

IF ElfsborgHome
1.82 : 0.70
expected goals
Halmstads BKAway
63%Elfsborg
23%Draw
13%Halmstads
Eagle safe pickIF Elfsborg or Draw
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for IF Elfsborg vs Halmstads BK is IF Elfsborg to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is IF Elfsborg or Draw at 1.18.

Prediction
IF Elfsborg to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
IF Elfsborg 1.8, Halmstads BK 0.7
Best bet
IF Elfsborg or Draw at 1.18
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

IF Elfsborg or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

IF Elfsborg to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.901 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives IF Elfsborg 63%, the draw 23% and Halmstads BK 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    IF Elfsborg took 10 points from their last 5 games and Halmstads BK took 7 from 5. IF Elfsborg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    IF Elfsborg won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Halmstads BK won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    IF Elfsborg score 1.3 goals a game and let in 0.9. Halmstads BK score 0.8 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of IF Elfsborg games and 6 of Halmstads BK games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, IF Elfsborg won 0 and Halmstads BK won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Halmstads BK 1, IF Elfsborg 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    IF Elfsborg or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Elfsborgrecent form+3%
Elfsborg form W W L W DHalmstads form W L L W DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

IF Elfsborg vs Halmstads BK: IF Elfsborg are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

IF Elfsborg host Halmstads BK in the Allsvenskan on Mon 12 Oct, 17:00 at Boras Arena. Our prediction for IF Elfsborg vs Halmstads BK is IF Elfsborg to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is IF Elfsborg or Draw at 1.18.

IF Elfsborg form

IF Elfsborg have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Halmstads BK form

Halmstads BK have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. IF Elfsborg won 0, Halmstads BK won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Halmstads BK 1, IF Elfsborg 1.

Our call

We expect IF Elfsborg to score about 1.8 goals and Halmstads BK about 0.7. That points to IF Elfsborg to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is IF Elfsborg or Draw at 1.18. Our bold bet is IF Elfsborg to win and Over 2.5 at 2.90.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ElfsborgHalmstads
Games played2020
Wins93
Draws65
Losses512
Goals scored2515
Goals conceded1835
Scored per game1.30.8
Conceded per game0.91.8
Home record5W 3D 2L3W 2D 5L
Away record4W 3D 3L0W 3D 7L
Clean sheets35%10%
Both teams scored60%50%
Over 2.5 goals40%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.16
Over 3.5 goals25%4.04
Both teams to score43%2.33
IF Elfsborg or Draw87%1.15
Halmstads BK or Draw37%2.74
IF Elfsborg to win and Over 2.536%2.76
Halmstads BK to win and Over 2.56%16.06
IF Elfsborg clean sheet49%2.02
Halmstads BK clean sheet16%6.18

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.0%
2-013.3%
1-110.9%
2-19.3%
0-08.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Halmstads BK?

Our prediction for IF Elfsborg vs Halmstads BK is IF Elfsborg to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is IF Elfsborg or Draw at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for IF Elfsborg vs Halmstads BK?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect IF Elfsborg to score 1.8 goals and Halmstads BK 0.7.

Will both teams score in IF Elfsborg vs Halmstads BK?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of IF Elfsborg last 20 games and 10 of Halmstads BK last 20.

How are IF Elfsborg playing?

IF Elfsborg have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Halmstads BK playing?

Halmstads BK have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when IF Elfsborg and Halmstads BK last met?

It ended Halmstads BK 1, IF Elfsborg 1. In the last 1 meeting IF Elfsborg won 0 and Halmstads BK won 0.

What is the best bet for IF Elfsborg vs Halmstads BK?

IF Elfsborg or Draw at 1.18, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Elfsborg against Halmstads. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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