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Predictions › Sweden › IF Elfsborg vs Örgryte IS
AllsvenskanSun 1 Nov, 15:30 Sweden time

IF Elfsborg vs Örgryte IS prediction

Boras Arena

IF ElfsborgHome
2.69 : 0.60
expected goals
Örgryte ISAway
81%Elfsborg
13%Draw
6%Örgryte
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for IF Elfsborg vs Örgryte IS is IF Elfsborg to win, with a 81% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
IF Elfsborg to win
Chance
81%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
IF Elfsborg 2.7, Örgryte IS 0.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

IF Elfsborg to win and both score
29% chanceFair price 3.401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives IF Elfsborg 81%, the draw 13% and Örgryte IS 6%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    IF Elfsborg took 10 points from their last 5 games and Örgryte IS took 4 from 5. IF Elfsborg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    IF Elfsborg won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Örgryte IS won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    IF Elfsborg score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.9. Örgryte IS score 1.1 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of IF Elfsborg games and 11 of Örgryte IS games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, IF Elfsborg won 0 and Örgryte IS won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Örgryte IS 0, IF Elfsborg 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Elfsborgrecent form+3%
  • Örgryterecent form-4%
Elfsborg form D W W W LÖrgryte form D L L L DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

IF Elfsborg vs Örgryte IS: IF Elfsborg are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

IF Elfsborg host Örgryte IS in the Allsvenskan on Sun 1 Nov, 15:30 at Boras Arena. Our prediction for IF Elfsborg vs Örgryte IS is IF Elfsborg to win, with a 81% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

IF Elfsborg form

IF Elfsborg have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Örgryte IS form

Örgryte IS have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. IF Elfsborg won 0, Örgryte IS won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Örgryte IS 0, IF Elfsborg 0.

Our call

We expect IF Elfsborg to score about 2.7 goals and Örgryte IS about 0.6. That points to IF Elfsborg to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is IF Elfsborg to win and both score at 3.40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ElfsborgÖrgryte
Games played2020
Wins83
Draws75
Losses512
Goals scored2822
Goals conceded1941
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game0.92.0
Home record5W 3D 2L2W 5D 3L
Away record3W 4D 3L1W 0D 9L
Clean sheets35%15%
Both teams scored60%50%
Over 2.5 goals45%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.56
Over 3.5 goals42%2.39
Both teams to score43%2.34
IF Elfsborg or Draw94%1.06
Örgryte IS or Draw19%5.26
IF Elfsborg to win and Over 2.558%1.72
Örgryte IS to win and Over 2.53%32.53
IF Elfsborg clean sheet55%1.83
Örgryte IS clean sheet7%14.77

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-013.4%
3-012.0%
1-09.6%
2-18.1%
4-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Örgryte IS?

Our prediction for IF Elfsborg vs Örgryte IS is IF Elfsborg to win, with a 81% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for IF Elfsborg vs Örgryte IS?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 1-0. We expect IF Elfsborg to score 2.7 goals and Örgryte IS 0.6.

Will both teams score in IF Elfsborg vs Örgryte IS?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of IF Elfsborg last 20 games and 10 of Örgryte IS last 20.

How are IF Elfsborg playing?

IF Elfsborg have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Örgryte IS playing?

Örgryte IS have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when IF Elfsborg and Örgryte IS last met?

It ended Örgryte IS 0, IF Elfsborg 0. In the last 1 meeting IF Elfsborg won 0 and Örgryte IS won 0.

What is the best bet for IF Elfsborg vs Örgryte IS?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Elfsborg against Örgryte. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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