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Predictions › Sweden › IFK Göteborg vs Djurgården
AllsvenskanWed 28 Oct, 18:00 Sweden time

IFK Göteborg vs Djurgården prediction

Gamla Ullevi

IFK GöteborgHome
0.74 : 1.26
expected goals
DjurgårdenAway
21%Göteborg
31%Draw
48%Djurgården
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for IFK Göteborg vs Djurgården is Djurgården to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Djurgården to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
IFK Göteborg 0.7, Djurgården 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
38%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-1
16% chanceFair price 6.161 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives IFK Göteborg 21%, the draw 31% and Djurgården 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    IFK Göteborg took 13 points from their last 5 games and Djurgården took 12 from 5. IFK Göteborg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    IFK Göteborg won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Djurgården won 8 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    IFK Göteborg score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.9. Djurgården score 2.3 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of IFK Göteborg games and 11 of Djurgården games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, IFK Göteborg won 0 and Djurgården won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Djurgården 6, IFK Göteborg 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Göteborgrecent form+6%
  • Djurgårdenrecent form+3%
  • Göteborgrest between games-5%
  • Djurgårdenrest between games-2%
Göteborg form D W W W WDjurgården form D W L W WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

IFK Göteborg vs Djurgården: Djurgården are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

IFK Göteborg host Djurgården in the Allsvenskan on Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 at Gamla Ullevi. Our prediction for IFK Göteborg vs Djurgården is Djurgården to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

IFK Göteborg form

IFK Göteborg have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Djurgården form

Djurgården have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. IFK Göteborg won 0, Djurgården won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Djurgården 6, IFK Göteborg 0.

Our call

We expect IFK Göteborg to score about 0.7 goals and Djurgården about 1.3. That points to Djurgården to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-1 at 6.16.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GöteborgDjurgården
Games played2020
Wins1013
Draws42
Losses65
Goals scored3245
Goals conceded3716
Scored per game1.62.3
Conceded per game1.90.8
Home record6W 3D 2L5W 1D 4L
Away record4W 1D 4L8W 1D 1L
Clean sheets20%60%
Both teams scored60%35%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals60%1.66
Over 2.5 goals32%3.09
Over 3.5 goals14%6.97
Both teams to score38%2.61
IFK Göteborg or Draw52%1.92
Djurgården or Draw79%1.27
IFK Göteborg to win and Over 2.58%12.18
Djurgården to win and Over 2.521%4.78
IFK Göteborg clean sheet28%3.52
Djurgården clean sheet48%2.10

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-116.2%
0-014.3%
1-113.4%
0-210.7%
1-09.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win IFK Göteborg vs Djurgården?

Our prediction for IFK Göteborg vs Djurgården is Djurgården to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for IFK Göteborg vs Djurgården?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect IFK Göteborg to score 0.7 goals and Djurgården 1.3.

Will both teams score in IFK Göteborg vs Djurgården?

Both teams to score has a 38% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of IFK Göteborg last 20 games and 7 of Djurgården last 20.

How are IFK Göteborg playing?

IFK Göteborg have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Djurgården playing?

Djurgården have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when IFK Göteborg and Djurgården last met?

It ended Djurgården 6, IFK Göteborg 0. In the last 2 meetings IFK Göteborg won 0 and Djurgården won 1.

What is the best bet for IFK Göteborg vs Djurgården?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Göteborg against Djurgården. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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