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Predictions › Sweden › IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF
AllsvenskanSun 8 Nov, 13:00 Sweden time

IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF prediction

Gamla Ullevi

IFK GöteborgHome
1.01 : 0.96
expected goals
Malmö FFAway
35%Göteborg
33%Draw
32%Malmö
Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals
1.47

Quick answer

Our prediction for IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF is IFK Göteborg to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.47.

Prediction
IFK Göteborg to win
Chance
35%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
IFK Göteborg 1.0, Malmö FF 1.0
Best bet
Under 2.5 goals at 1.47
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals
68% chanceFair price 1.471 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
15% chanceFair price 6.821 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives IFK Göteborg 35%, the draw 33% and Malmö FF 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    IFK Göteborg took 9 points from their last 5 games and Malmö FF took 7 from 5. IFK Göteborg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    IFK Göteborg won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Malmö FF won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    IFK Göteborg score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. Malmö FF score 1.6 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of IFK Göteborg games and 12 of Malmö FF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, IFK Göteborg won 0 and Malmö FF won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Malmö FF 4, IFK Göteborg 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 2.5 goals has a 68% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Göteborgrecent form+3%
  • Malmörecent form-1%
  • Göteborgrest between games-5%
  • Malmörest between games-5%
Göteborg form D D D W WMalmö form D D L W LHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF: IFK Göteborg shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

IFK Göteborg host Malmö FF in the Allsvenskan on Sun 8 Nov, 13:00 at Gamla Ullevi. Our prediction for IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF is IFK Göteborg to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.47.

IFK Göteborg form

IFK Göteborg have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Malmö FF form

Malmö FF have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. IFK Göteborg won 0, Malmö FF won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Malmö FF 4, IFK Göteborg 0.

Our call

We expect IFK Göteborg to score about 1.0 goals and Malmö FF about 1.0. That points to IFK Göteborg to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.47. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.82.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GöteborgMalmö
Games played2020
Wins109
Draws53
Losses58
Goals scored3231
Goals conceded3126
Scored per game1.61.6
Conceded per game1.61.3
Home record6W 3D 2L4W 1D 5L
Away record4W 2D 3L5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets20%40%
Both teams scored65%45%
Over 2.5 goals55%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals60%1.68
Over 2.5 goals32%3.16
Over 3.5 goals14%7.22
Both teams to score40%2.49
IFK Göteborg or Draw68%1.48
Malmö FF or Draw65%1.54
IFK Göteborg to win and Over 2.515%6.81
Malmö FF to win and Over 2.513%7.50
IFK Göteborg clean sheet38%2.61
Malmö FF clean sheet36%2.76

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-014.7%
1-114.3%
1-013.3%
0-112.5%
2-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF?

Our prediction for IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF is IFK Göteborg to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.47.

What is the score prediction for IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-0. We expect IFK Göteborg to score 1.0 goals and Malmö FF 1.0.

Will both teams score in IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of IFK Göteborg last 20 games and 9 of Malmö FF last 20.

How are IFK Göteborg playing?

IFK Göteborg have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Malmö FF playing?

Malmö FF have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when IFK Göteborg and Malmö FF last met?

It ended Malmö FF 4, IFK Göteborg 0. In the last 1 meeting IFK Göteborg won 0 and Malmö FF won 1.

What is the best bet for IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.47, with a 68% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Göteborg against Malmö. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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