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Predictions › Sweden › IFK Göteborg vs Västerås SK
AllsvenskanFri 9 Oct, 17:00 Sweden time

IFK Göteborg vs Västerås SK prediction

Gamla Ullevi

IFK GöteborgHome
1.75 : 1.35
expected goals
Västerås SKAway
46%Göteborg
25%Draw
29%Västerås
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for IFK Göteborg vs Västerås SK is IFK Göteborg to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
IFK Göteborg to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
IFK Göteborg 1.8, Västerås SK 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

IFK Göteborg to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.241 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives IFK Göteborg 46%, the draw 25% and Västerås SK 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    IFK Göteborg took 13 points from their last 5 games and Västerås SK took 10 from 5. IFK Göteborg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    IFK Göteborg won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Västerås SK won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    IFK Göteborg score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.9. Västerås SK score 1.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of IFK Göteborg games and 11 of Västerås SK games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, IFK Göteborg won 1 and Västerås SK won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Västerås SK 4, IFK Göteborg 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Göteborgrecent form+6%
  • Västeråsrecent form+3%
Göteborg form W W W W DVästerås form W W L W DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

IFK Göteborg vs Västerås SK: IFK Göteborg are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

IFK Göteborg host Västerås SK in the Allsvenskan on Fri 9 Oct, 17:00 at Gamla Ullevi. Our prediction for IFK Göteborg vs Västerås SK is IFK Göteborg to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

IFK Göteborg form

IFK Göteborg have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Västerås SK form

Västerås SK have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. IFK Göteborg won 1, Västerås SK won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Västerås SK 4, IFK Göteborg 5.

Our call

We expect IFK Göteborg to score about 1.8 goals and Västerås SK about 1.4. That points to IFK Göteborg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is IFK Göteborg to win and Over 2.5 at 3.24.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GöteborgVästerås
Games played2020
Wins99
Draws54
Losses67
Goals scored3131
Goals conceded3733
Scored per game1.61.6
Conceded per game1.91.6
Home record5W 3D 2L4W 3D 3L
Away record4W 2D 4L5W 1D 4L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored65%45%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.67
Over 3.5 goals38%2.67
Both teams to score62%1.62
IFK Göteborg or Draw71%1.41
Västerås SK or Draw54%1.86
IFK Göteborg to win and Over 2.532%3.11
Västerås SK to win and Over 2.520%5.11
IFK Göteborg clean sheet26%3.86
Västerås SK clean sheet17%5.75

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.3%
2-19.3%
1-07.2%
1-27.2%
2-06.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win IFK Göteborg vs Västerås SK?

Our prediction for IFK Göteborg vs Västerås SK is IFK Göteborg to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for IFK Göteborg vs Västerås SK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect IFK Göteborg to score 1.8 goals and Västerås SK 1.4.

Will both teams score in IFK Göteborg vs Västerås SK?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of IFK Göteborg last 20 games and 9 of Västerås SK last 20.

How are IFK Göteborg playing?

IFK Göteborg have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Västerås SK playing?

Västerås SK have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when IFK Göteborg and Västerås SK last met?

It ended Västerås SK 4, IFK Göteborg 5. In the last 1 meeting IFK Göteborg won 1 and Västerås SK won 0.

What is the best bet for IFK Göteborg vs Västerås SK?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Göteborg against Västerås. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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