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Predictions › Sweden › IK Sirius vs AIK
AllsvenskanSat 24 Oct, 13:00 Sweden time

IK Sirius vs AIK prediction

Studenternas IP

IK SiriusHome
1.85 : 1.47
expected goals
AIKAway
46%Sirius
24%Draw
30%AIK
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for IK Sirius vs AIK is IK Sirius to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
IK Sirius to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
IK Sirius 1.9, AIK 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

IK Sirius to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.081 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives IK Sirius 46%, the draw 24% and AIK 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    IK Sirius took 12 points from their last 5 games and AIK took 2 from 5. IK Sirius come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    IK Sirius won 5 of their last 9 games at home. AIK won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    IK Sirius score 2.2 goals a game and let in 1.4. AIK score 1.6 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of IK Sirius games and 13 of AIK games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, IK Sirius won 1 and AIK won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended AIK 0, IK Sirius 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Siriusrecent form+3%
  • AIKrecent form-3%
Sirius form D W W W LAIK form D L D L DHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

IK Sirius vs AIK: IK Sirius are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

IK Sirius host AIK in the Allsvenskan on Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 at Studenternas IP. Our prediction for IK Sirius vs AIK is IK Sirius to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

IK Sirius form

IK Sirius have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

AIK form

AIK have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. IK Sirius won 1, AIK won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished AIK 0, IK Sirius 3.

Our call

We expect IK Sirius to score about 1.9 goals and AIK about 1.5. That points to IK Sirius to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is IK Sirius to win and Over 2.5 at 3.08.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SiriusAIK
Games played2020
Wins147
Draws35
Losses38
Goals scored4431
Goals conceded2737
Scored per game2.21.6
Conceded per game1.41.9
Home record5W 2D 2L2W 1D 6L
Away record9W 1D 1L5W 4D 2L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored60%70%
Over 2.5 goals70%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.55
Over 3.5 goals42%2.36
Both teams to score65%1.53
IK Sirius or Draw70%1.43
AIK or Draw54%1.86
IK Sirius to win and Over 2.534%2.94
AIK to win and Over 2.521%4.66
IK Sirius clean sheet23%4.33
AIK clean sheet16%6.39

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
2-19.1%
1-27.2%
2-26.7%
2-06.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win IK Sirius vs AIK?

Our prediction for IK Sirius vs AIK is IK Sirius to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for IK Sirius vs AIK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect IK Sirius to score 1.9 goals and AIK 1.5.

Will both teams score in IK Sirius vs AIK?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of IK Sirius last 20 games and 14 of AIK last 20.

How are IK Sirius playing?

IK Sirius have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are AIK playing?

AIK have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

What happened when IK Sirius and AIK last met?

It ended AIK 0, IK Sirius 3. In the last 1 meeting IK Sirius won 1 and AIK won 0.

What is the best bet for IK Sirius vs AIK?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sirius against AIK. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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