Predictions › Sweden › IK Sirius vs Degerfors IF

AllsvenskanMon 14 Sept, 17:00 Sweden time

IK Sirius vs Degerfors IF prediction

Studenternas IP

IK SiriusHome

2.17 : 1.01

expected goals

Degerfors IFAway

63%Sirius

21%Draw

16%Degerfors

Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals

1.53

Quick answer

Our prediction for IK Sirius vs Degerfors IF is IK Sirius to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.53.

Prediction: IK Sirius to win
Chance: 63%
Most likely score: 2-1
Expected goals: IK Sirius 2.2, Degerfors IF 1.0
Best bet: Over 2.5 goals at 1.53
Both teams to score: 57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals

62% chancePrice 1.531 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

IK Sirius to win and Over 2.5

43% chanceFair price 2.351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives IK Sirius 63%, the draw 21% and Degerfors IF 16%. The bookmakers agree and make IK Sirius the favourite at 1.44.
2
Recent form
IK Sirius took 4 points from their last 5 games and Degerfors IF took 9 from 5. Degerfors IF come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
IK Sirius won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Degerfors IF won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
IK Sirius score 2.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Degerfors IF score 0.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of IK Sirius games and 9 of Degerfors IF games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, IK Sirius won 1 and Degerfors IF won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Degerfors IF 0, IK Sirius 3.
6
The safest bet
Over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Siriusrecent form-3%
Degerforsrecent form+1%

Sirius form W L L L DDegerfors form W L L W WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

IK Sirius vs Degerfors IF: IK Sirius are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

IK Sirius host Degerfors IF in the Allsvenskan on Mon 14 Sept, 17:00 at Studenternas IP. Our prediction for IK Sirius vs Degerfors IF is IK Sirius to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.53.

IK Sirius form

IK Sirius have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Degerfors IF form

Degerfors IF have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. IK Sirius won 1, Degerfors IF won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Degerfors IF 0, IK Sirius 3.

Our call

We expect IK Sirius to score about 2.2 goals and Degerfors IF about 1.0. That points to IK Sirius to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.53. Our bold bet is IK Sirius to win and Over 2.5 at 2.35.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Sirius	Degerfors
Games played	20	20
Wins	14	5
Draws	3	4
Losses	3	11
Goals scored	48	19
Goals conceded	27	31
Scored per game	2.4	0.9
Conceded per game	1.4	1.6
Home record	6W 2D 2L	3W 2D 5L
Away record	8W 1D 1L	2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets	30%	15%
Both teams scored	60%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
IK Sirius to win	64%	1.56	1.44	-7.8%
A Draw	20%	5.12	4.60	-10.2%
Degerfors IF to win	15%	6.68	6.50	-2.8%
Over 2.5 goals	62%	1.61	1.53	-5.5%
Under 2.5 goals	36%	2.78	2.35	-15.6%
IK Sirius -1.5	41%	2.45	2.05	-16.4%
Degerfors IF +1.5	57%	1.76	1.67	-5.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1.20
Over 2.5 goals	62%	1.63
Over 3.5 goals	39%	2.55
Both teams to score	57%	1.76
IK Sirius or Draw	84%	1.19
Degerfors IF or Draw	37%	2.72
IK Sirius to win and Over 2.5	45%	2.23
Degerfors IF to win and Over 2.5	10%	9.81
IK Sirius clean sheet	36%	2.74
Degerfors IF clean sheet	11%	8.74

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.9%

2-09.8%

1-19.7%

1-08.5%

3-17.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win IK Sirius vs Degerfors IF?

Our prediction for IK Sirius vs Degerfors IF is IK Sirius to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.53.

What is the score prediction for IK Sirius vs Degerfors IF?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect IK Sirius to score 2.2 goals and Degerfors IF 1.0.

Will both teams score in IK Sirius vs Degerfors IF?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of IK Sirius last 20 games and 8 of Degerfors IF last 20.

How are IK Sirius playing?

How are Degerfors IF playing?

What happened when IK Sirius and Degerfors IF last met?

It ended Degerfors IF 0, IK Sirius 3. In the last 2 meetings IK Sirius won 1 and Degerfors IF won 1.

What is the best bet for IK Sirius vs Degerfors IF?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.53, with a 62% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sirius against Degerfors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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