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Predictions › Sweden › IK Sirius vs Djurgården
AllsvenskanSun 22 Nov, 13:00 Sweden time

IK Sirius vs Djurgården prediction

Studenternas IP

IK SiriusHome
1.16 : 1.58
expected goals
DjurgårdenAway
27%Sirius
26%Draw
47%Djurgården
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for IK Sirius vs Djurgården is Djurgården to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Djurgården to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
IK Sirius 1.2, Djurgården 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Djurgården to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives IK Sirius 27%, the draw 26% and Djurgården 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    IK Sirius took 4 points from their last 5 games and Djurgården took 8 from 5. Djurgården come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    IK Sirius won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Djurgården won 7 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    IK Sirius score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.3. Djurgården score 1.9 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of IK Sirius games and 11 of Djurgården games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, IK Sirius won 1 and Djurgården won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Djurgården 2, IK Sirius 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Siriusrecent form-3%
  • Djurgårdenrecent form+1%
Sirius form L W L L DDjurgården form L W D D WHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

IK Sirius vs Djurgården: Djurgården are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

IK Sirius host Djurgården in the Allsvenskan on Sun 22 Nov, 13:00 at Studenternas IP. Our prediction for IK Sirius vs Djurgården is Djurgården to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

IK Sirius form

IK Sirius have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Djurgården form

Djurgården have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. IK Sirius won 1, Djurgården won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Djurgården 2, IK Sirius 3.

Our call

We expect IK Sirius to score about 1.2 goals and Djurgården about 1.6. That points to Djurgården to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Djurgården to win and Over 2.5 at 3.51.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SiriusDjurgården
Games played2020
Wins1112
Draws33
Losses65
Goals scored3638
Goals conceded2616
Scored per game1.81.9
Conceded per game1.30.8
Home record4W 3D 3L5W 1D 3L
Away record7W 0D 3L7W 2D 2L
Clean sheets30%55%
Both teams scored50%40%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.93
Over 3.5 goals30%3.38
Both teams to score55%1.81
IK Sirius or Draw53%1.87
Djurgården or Draw73%1.37
IK Sirius to win and Over 2.516%6.21
Djurgården to win and Over 2.529%3.45
IK Sirius clean sheet20%4.88
Djurgården clean sheet31%3.19

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.5%
0-19.5%
1-29.4%
0-28.1%
0-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win IK Sirius vs Djurgården?

Our prediction for IK Sirius vs Djurgården is Djurgården to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for IK Sirius vs Djurgården?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect IK Sirius to score 1.2 goals and Djurgården 1.6.

Will both teams score in IK Sirius vs Djurgården?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of IK Sirius last 20 games and 8 of Djurgården last 20.

How are IK Sirius playing?

IK Sirius have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Djurgården playing?

Djurgården have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, W, newest first.

What happened when IK Sirius and Djurgården last met?

It ended Djurgården 2, IK Sirius 3. In the last 2 meetings IK Sirius won 1 and Djurgården won 1.

What is the best bet for IK Sirius vs Djurgården?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sirius against Djurgården. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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