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Predictions › Sweden › IK Sirius vs IF Elfsborg
AllsvenskanSun 18 Oct, 12:00 Sweden time

IK Sirius vs IF Elfsborg prediction

Studenternas IP

IK SiriusHome
1.73 : 1.13
expected goals
IF ElfsborgAway
51%Sirius
25%Draw
24%Elfsborg
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for IK Sirius vs IF Elfsborg is IK Sirius to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
IK Sirius to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
IK Sirius 1.7, IF Elfsborg 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

IK Sirius to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.131 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives IK Sirius 51%, the draw 25% and IF Elfsborg 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    IK Sirius took 9 points from their last 5 games and IF Elfsborg took 10 from 5. IF Elfsborg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    IK Sirius won 6 of their last 10 games at home. IF Elfsborg won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    IK Sirius score 2.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. IF Elfsborg score 1.3 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of IK Sirius games and 8 of IF Elfsborg games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, IK Sirius won 2 and IF Elfsborg won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended IF Elfsborg 1, IK Sirius 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Siriusrecent form+1%
  • Elfsborgrecent form+3%
Sirius form W W W L LElfsborg form W W L W DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

IK Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: IK Sirius are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

IK Sirius host IF Elfsborg in the Allsvenskan on Sun 18 Oct, 12:00 at Studenternas IP. Our prediction for IK Sirius vs IF Elfsborg is IK Sirius to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

IK Sirius form

IK Sirius have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

IF Elfsborg form

IF Elfsborg have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. IK Sirius won 2, IF Elfsborg won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished IF Elfsborg 1, IK Sirius 3.

Our call

We expect IK Sirius to score about 1.7 goals and IF Elfsborg about 1.1. That points to IK Sirius to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is IK Sirius to win and Over 2.5 at 3.13.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SiriusElfsborg
Games played2020
Wins149
Draws36
Losses35
Goals scored4725
Goals conceded2818
Scored per game2.41.3
Conceded per game1.40.9
Home record6W 2D 2L5W 3D 2L
Away record8W 1D 1L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets25%35%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals75%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.27
Over 2.5 goals54%1.84
Over 3.5 goals32%3.12
Both teams to score56%1.78
IK Sirius or Draw76%1.32
IF Elfsborg or Draw49%2.03
IK Sirius to win and Over 2.533%3.04
IF Elfsborg to win and Over 2.515%6.82
IK Sirius clean sheet32%3.09
IF Elfsborg clean sheet18%5.63

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
2-19.7%
1-09.3%
2-08.6%
0-06.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win IK Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?

Our prediction for IK Sirius vs IF Elfsborg is IK Sirius to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for IK Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect IK Sirius to score 1.7 goals and IF Elfsborg 1.1.

Will both teams score in IK Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of IK Sirius last 20 games and 12 of IF Elfsborg last 20.

How are IK Sirius playing?

IK Sirius have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are IF Elfsborg playing?

IF Elfsborg have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when IK Sirius and IF Elfsborg last met?

It ended IF Elfsborg 1, IK Sirius 3. In the last 2 meetings IK Sirius won 2 and IF Elfsborg won 0.

What is the best bet for IK Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sirius against Elfsborg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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