Predictions › Norway › IK Start vs SK Brann

EliteserienSun 13 Sept, 15:00 Norway time

IK Start vs SK Brann prediction

Sparebanken Sor Arena

IK StartHome

1.33 : 1.81

expected goals

SK BrannAway

28%IK Start

24%Draw

48%SK Brann

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.54

Quick answer

Our prediction for IK Start vs SK Brann is SK Brann to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.54.

Prediction: SK Brann to win
Chance: 48%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: IK Start 1.3, SK Brann 1.8
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.54
Both teams to score: 62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

62% chancePrice 1.541 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

SK Brann to win and Over 2.5

32% chanceFair price 3.141 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives IK Start 28%, the draw 24% and SK Brann 48%. The bookmakers agree and make SK Brann the favourite at 2.05.
2
Recent form
IK Start took 6 points from their last 5 games and SK Brann took 7 from 5. SK Brann come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
IK Start won 2 of their last 9 games at home. SK Brann won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
IK Start score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.2. SK Brann score 1.9 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of IK Start games and 16 of SK Brann games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, IK Start won 0 and SK Brann won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended SK Brann 2, IK Start 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 62% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

IK Startrecent form-1%
SK Brannrecent form+1%

IK Start form L W L L WSK Brann form L D W D WHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

IK Start vs SK Brann: SK Brann are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

IK Start host SK Brann in the Eliteserien on Sun 13 Sept, 15:00 at Sparebanken Sor Arena. Our prediction for IK Start vs SK Brann is SK Brann to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.54.

IK Start form

IK Start have 3 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 20 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

SK Brann form

SK Brann have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. IK Start won 0, SK Brann won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished SK Brann 2, IK Start 1.

Our call

We expect IK Start to score about 1.3 goals and SK Brann about 1.8. That points to SK Brann to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.54. Our bold bet is SK Brann to win and Over 2.5 at 3.14.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	IK Start	SK Brann
Games played	19	20
Wins	3	8
Draws	4	2
Losses	12	10
Goals scored	20	37
Goals conceded	41	30
Scored per game	1.1	1.9
Conceded per game	2.2	1.5
Home record	2W 3D 4L	5W 0D 5L
Away record	1W 1D 8L	3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	5%	15%
Both teams scored	63%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	58%	80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
IK Start to win	26%	3.81	3.20	-16.0%
A Draw	23%	4.41	3.85	-12.6%
SK Brann to win	46%	2.15	2.05	-4.8%
Over 3.5 goals	36%	2.77	2.35	-15.2%
Under 3.5 goals	62%	1.62	1.54	-4.8%
IK Start +0.5	52%	1.93	1.74	-9.6%
SK Brann -0.5	46%	2.19	1.95	-11.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	61%	1.65
Over 3.5 goals	38%	2.60
Both teams to score	62%	1.61
IK Start or Draw	52%	1.93
SK Brann or Draw	72%	1.38
IK Start to win and Over 2.5	19%	5.35
SK Brann to win and Over 2.5	34%	2.95
IK Start clean sheet	16%	6.11
SK Brann clean sheet	26%	3.79

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.0%

1-29.4%

0-17.2%

0-27.1%

2-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win IK Start vs SK Brann?

Our prediction for IK Start vs SK Brann is SK Brann to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.54.

What is the score prediction for IK Start vs SK Brann?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect IK Start to score 1.3 goals and SK Brann 1.8.

Will both teams score in IK Start vs SK Brann?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of IK Start last 19 games and 15 of SK Brann last 20.

How are IK Start playing?

How are SK Brann playing?

What happened when IK Start and SK Brann last met?

It ended SK Brann 2, IK Start 1. In the last 1 meeting IK Start won 0 and SK Brann won 1.

What is the best bet for IK Start vs SK Brann?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.54, with a 62% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in IK Start against SK Brann. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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