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Predictions › United States › Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 12:00 United States time

Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins prediction

SECU Stadium

Illinois Fighting IlliniAway
31.3 : 32.3
projected points
Maryland TerrapinsHome
50%Illinois
50%Maryland
Eagle safe pickIllinois +11.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins is Illinois Fighting Illini to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Illinois Fighting Illini 31.3 and Maryland Terrapins 32.3. Our best bet is Illinois +11.5 at -303.

Prediction
Illinois Fighting Illini to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
Illinois Fighting Illini 31, Maryland Terrapins 32
Projected total
63.5 points
Best bet
Illinois +11.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Illinois +11.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Maryland Terrapins 50% and Illinois Fighting Illini 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Maryland Terrapins won 0 of their last 5 and Illinois Fighting Illini won 2 of their last 5. Illinois Fighting Illini come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Maryland Terrapins won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Illinois Fighting Illini won 2 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Maryland Terrapins score 24.8 points a game and let in 31.5. Illinois Fighting Illini score 28.0 and let in 26.6. Their recent games average 56.2 and 54.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Maryland Terrapins won 0 and Illinois Fighting Illini won 1. The last one ended Illinois Fighting Illini 24, Maryland Terrapins 6.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Illinois +11.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins: Illinois Fighting Illini shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Maryland Terrapins host Illinois Fighting Illini in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 at SECU Stadium. Our prediction for Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins is Illinois Fighting Illini to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Illinois Fighting Illini 31.3 and Maryland Terrapins 32.3. Our best bet is Illinois +11.5 at -303.

Maryland Terrapins form

Maryland Terrapins have 4 wins and 13 losses in their last 17 games, with 421 points scored and 535 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Illinois Fighting Illini form

Illinois Fighting Illini have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 476 points scored and 452 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Maryland Terrapins won 0, Illinois Fighting Illini won 1. Last time out it finished Illinois Fighting Illini 24, Maryland Terrapins 6.

Our call

We expect Illinois Fighting Illini to score about 31.3 points and Maryland Terrapins about 32.3. That points to Illinois Fighting Illini to win. Our safest bet is Illinois +11.5 at -303.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

MarylandIllinois
Games played1717
Wins410
Losses137
Points scored421476
Points conceded535452
Scored per game24.828.0
Conceded per game31.526.6
Home record2W 7L8W 3L
Away record2W 6L2W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Maryland spreadCoversFair
Maryland -8.532%+213
Maryland -4.541%+142
Maryland -1.549%+105
Maryland +1.556%-128
Maryland +5.566%-192
Total pointsOverUnder
56.567%33%
60.558%42%
63.550%50%
66.543%57%
70.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Maryland +3.5 wins if Maryland win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins?

Our prediction for Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins is Illinois Fighting Illini to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Illinois Fighting Illini 31.3 and Maryland Terrapins 32.3. Our best bet is Illinois +11.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins?

We project Illinois Fighting Illini 31.3 and Maryland Terrapins 32.3, about 63.5 points in total.

How are Maryland Terrapins playing?

Maryland Terrapins have 4 wins and 13 losses in their last 17 games, with 421 points scored and 535 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Illinois Fighting Illini playing?

Illinois Fighting Illini have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 476 points scored and 452 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Maryland Terrapins and Illinois Fighting Illini last met?

It ended Illinois Fighting Illini 24, Maryland Terrapins 6. In the last 1 meeting Maryland Terrapins won 0 and Illinois Fighting Illini won 1.

What is the best bet for Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins?

Illinois +11.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Maryland against Illinois. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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