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Predictions › Argentina › Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield
Argentina Liga ProfesionalTue 3 Nov, 00:15 Argentina time

Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield prediction

Bautista Gargantini

Independiente RivadaviaHome
1.99 : 1.26
expected goals
BanfieldAway
54%Ind. Rivadavia
23%Draw
23%Banfield
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield is Independiente Rivadavia to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Independiente Rivadavia to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Independiente Rivadavia 2.0, Banfield 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Independiente Rivadavia to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Independiente Rivadavia 54%, the draw 23% and Banfield 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Independiente Rivadavia took 8 points from their last 5 games and Banfield took 6 from 5. Independiente Rivadavia come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Independiente Rivadavia won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Banfield won 3 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Independiente Rivadavia score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Banfield score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Independiente Rivadavia games and 9 of Banfield games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Independiente Rivadavia won 0 and Banfield won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Banfield 0, Independiente Rivadavia 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ind. Rivadaviarecent form-1%
  • Banfieldrecent form+1%
Ind. Rivadavia form D L D W LBanfield form D W D D DHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield: Independiente Rivadavia are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Independiente Rivadavia host Banfield in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Tue 3 Nov, 00:15 at Bautista Gargantini. Our prediction for Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield is Independiente Rivadavia to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Independiente Rivadavia form

Independiente Rivadavia have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Banfield form

Banfield have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Independiente Rivadavia won 0, Banfield won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Banfield 0, Independiente Rivadavia 0.

Our call

We expect Independiente Rivadavia to score about 2.0 goals and Banfield about 1.3. That points to Independiente Rivadavia to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Independiente Rivadavia to win and Over 2.5 at 2.58.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Ind. RivadaviaBanfield
Games played2020
Wins75
Draws86
Losses59
Goals scored2821
Goals conceded2927
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record4W 4D 1L2W 3D 3L
Away record3W 4D 4L3W 3D 6L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored70%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.59
Over 3.5 goals41%2.45
Both teams to score62%1.60
Independiente Rivadavia or Draw77%1.30
Banfield or Draw46%2.17
Independiente Rivadavia to win and Over 2.539%2.56
Banfield to win and Over 2.516%6.28
Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet28%3.51
Banfield clean sheet14%7.32

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
2-19.7%
2-07.7%
1-07.2%
3-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?

Our prediction for Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield is Independiente Rivadavia to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Independiente Rivadavia to score 2.0 goals and Banfield 1.3.

Will both teams score in Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Independiente Rivadavia last 20 games and 12 of Banfield last 20.

How are Independiente Rivadavia playing?

Independiente Rivadavia have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Banfield playing?

Banfield have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Independiente Rivadavia and Banfield last met?

It ended Banfield 0, Independiente Rivadavia 0. In the last 2 meetings Independiente Rivadavia won 0 and Banfield won 1.

What is the best bet for Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ind. Rivadavia against Banfield. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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