Predictions › Argentina › Independiente Rivadavia vs Tigre

Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 17 Oct, 20:30 Argentina time

Independiente Rivadavia vs Tigre prediction

Bautista Gargantini

Independiente RivadaviaHome

1.80 : 1.07

expected goals

TigreAway

54%Ind. Rivadavia

24%Draw

22%Tigre

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Independiente Rivadavia vs Tigre is Independiente Rivadavia to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction: Independiente Rivadavia to win
Chance: 54%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Independiente Rivadavia 1.8, Tigre 1.1
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score: 56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 1.312 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Independiente Rivadavia to win and Over 2.5

34% chanceFair price 2.971 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Independiente Rivadavia 54%, the draw 24% and Tigre 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Independiente Rivadavia took 10 points from their last 5 games and Tigre took 1 from 5. Independiente Rivadavia come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Independiente Rivadavia won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Tigre won 1 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Independiente Rivadavia score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.2. Tigre score 0.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Independiente Rivadavia games and 6 of Tigre games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Independiente Rivadavia won 1 and Tigre won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Tigre 0, Independiente Rivadavia 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Tigrerecent form-6%

Ind. Rivadavia form D W L W LTigre form L L L L DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Independiente Rivadavia vs Tigre: Independiente Rivadavia are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Independiente Rivadavia host Tigre in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 17 Oct, 20:30 at Bautista Gargantini. Our prediction for Independiente Rivadavia vs Tigre is Independiente Rivadavia to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Independiente Rivadavia form

Independiente Rivadavia have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Tigre form

Tigre have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Independiente Rivadavia won 1, Tigre won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Tigre 0, Independiente Rivadavia 2.

Our call

We expect Independiente Rivadavia to score about 1.8 goals and Tigre about 1.1. That points to Independiente Rivadavia to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Independiente Rivadavia to win and Over 2.5 at 2.97.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Ind. Rivadavia	Tigre
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	3
Draws	7	9
Losses	4	8
Goals scored	35	16
Goals conceded	24	21
Scored per game	1.8	0.8
Conceded per game	1.2	1.1
Home record	6W 3D 1L	2W 6D 2L
Away record	3W 4D 3L	1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets	20%	25%
Both teams scored	75%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.27
Over 2.5 goals	55%	1.83
Over 3.5 goals	32%	3.09
Both teams to score	56%	1.80
Independiente Rivadavia or Draw	78%	1.28
Tigre or Draw	46%	2.17
Independiente Rivadavia to win and Over 2.5	35%	2.85
Tigre to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.63
Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet	34%	2.92
Tigre clean sheet	17%	6.06

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.6%

2-19.8%

1-09.5%

2-09.2%

0-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Independiente Rivadavia vs Tigre?

Our prediction for Independiente Rivadavia vs Tigre is Independiente Rivadavia to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Independiente Rivadavia vs Tigre?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Independiente Rivadavia to score 1.8 goals and Tigre 1.1.

Will both teams score in Independiente Rivadavia vs Tigre?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Independiente Rivadavia last 20 games and 10 of Tigre last 20.

How are Independiente Rivadavia playing?

How are Tigre playing?

What happened when Independiente Rivadavia and Tigre last met?

It ended Tigre 0, Independiente Rivadavia 2. In the last 1 meeting Independiente Rivadavia won 1 and Tigre won 0.

What is the best bet for Independiente Rivadavia vs Tigre?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ind. Rivadavia against Tigre. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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