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Predictions › Colombia › Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera AWed 23 Sept, 01:00 Colombia time

Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali prediction

Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín

Independiente Santa FeHome
1.41 : 0.85
expected goals
Deportivo CaliAway
49%Santa Fe
29%Draw
22%Cali
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali is Independiente Santa Fe to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Independiente Santa Fe to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Independiente Santa Fe 1.4, Deportivo Cali 0.8
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
14% chanceFair price 7.181 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Independiente Santa Fe 49%, the draw 29% and Deportivo Cali 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Independiente Santa Fe took 9 points from their last 5 games and Deportivo Cali took 6 from 5. Independiente Santa Fe come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Independiente Santa Fe won 7 of their last 12 games at home. Deportivo Cali won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Independiente Santa Fe score 1.6 goals a game and let in 0.9. Deportivo Cali score 1.0 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Independiente Santa Fe games and 3 of Deportivo Cali games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Independiente Santa Fe won 1 and Deportivo Cali won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Deportivo Cali 1, Independiente Santa Fe 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Santa Ferecent form+3%
  • Calirecent form-3%
  • Santa Ferest between games-5%
  • Calirest between games-2%
Santa Fe form W D D W DCali form D L D L DHome edge in this league 40% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali: Independiente Santa Fe are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Independiente Santa Fe host Deportivo Cali in the Colombian Primera A on Wed 23 Sept, 01:00 at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín. Our prediction for Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali is Independiente Santa Fe to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Independiente Santa Fe form

Independiente Santa Fe have 9 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, D, newest first.

Deportivo Cali form

Deportivo Cali have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Independiente Santa Fe won 1, Deportivo Cali won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Deportivo Cali 1, Independiente Santa Fe 1.

Our call

We expect Independiente Santa Fe to score about 1.4 goals and Deportivo Cali about 0.8. That points to Independiente Santa Fe to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 7.18.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Santa FeCali
Games played2020
Wins97
Draws88
Losses35
Goals scored3320
Goals conceded1916
Scored per game1.61.0
Conceded per game0.90.8
Home record7W 5D 0L4W 5D 1L
Away record2W 3D 3L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets35%35%
Both teams scored60%45%
Over 2.5 goals50%15%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals67%1.50
Over 2.5 goals39%2.54
Over 3.5 goals19%5.20
Both teams to score44%2.27
Independiente Santa Fe or Draw78%1.28
Deportivo Cali or Draw51%1.97
Independiente Santa Fe to win and Over 2.525%4.01
Deportivo Cali to win and Over 2.510%9.92
Independiente Santa Fe clean sheet43%2.35
Deportivo Cali clean sheet25%4.08

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.9%
1-113.3%
0-011.2%
2-010.3%
2-18.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali?

Our prediction for Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali is Independiente Santa Fe to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Independiente Santa Fe to score 1.4 goals and Deportivo Cali 0.8.

Will both teams score in Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Independiente Santa Fe last 20 games and 9 of Deportivo Cali last 20.

How are Independiente Santa Fe playing?

Independiente Santa Fe have 9 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Deportivo Cali playing?

Deportivo Cali have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Independiente Santa Fe and Deportivo Cali last met?

It ended Deportivo Cali 1, Independiente Santa Fe 1. In the last 2 meetings Independiente Santa Fe won 1 and Deportivo Cali won 0.

What is the best bet for Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Santa Fe against Cali. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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