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Predictions › Colombia › Independiente Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Primera AWed 14 Oct, 23:30 Colombia time

Independiente Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba prediction

Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín

Independiente Santa FeHome
2.09 : 0.67
expected goals
Jaguares de CórdobaAway
70%Santa Fe
20%Draw
10%Jaguares
Eagle safe pickIndependiente Santa Fe to win
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Independiente Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba is Independiente Santa Fe to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Independiente Santa Fe to win at 1.31.

Prediction
Independiente Santa Fe to win
Chance
70%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Independiente Santa Fe 2.1, Jaguares de Córdoba 0.7
Best bet
Independiente Santa Fe to win at 1.31
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Independiente Santa Fe to win
73% chancePrice 1.311 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Independiente Santa Fe to win and Over 2.5
41% chanceFair price 2.461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Independiente Santa Fe 70%, the draw 20% and Jaguares de Córdoba 10%. The bookmakers agree and make Independiente Santa Fe the favourite at 1.31.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Independiente Santa Fe took 10 points from their last 5 games and Jaguares de Córdoba took 2 from 5. Independiente Santa Fe come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Independiente Santa Fe won 6 of their last 12 games at home. Jaguares de Córdoba won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Independiente Santa Fe score 1.6 goals a game and let in 0.9. Jaguares de Córdoba score 1.1 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Independiente Santa Fe games and 11 of Jaguares de Córdoba games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Independiente Santa Fe won 0 and Jaguares de Córdoba won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Jaguares de Córdoba 3, Independiente Santa Fe 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Independiente Santa Fe to win has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Jaguaresrecent form-4%
  • Jaguaresrest between games-5%
Santa Fe form W D L W LJaguares form L L L D DHome edge in this league 40% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Independiente Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba: Independiente Santa Fe are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Independiente Santa Fe host Jaguares de Córdoba in the Colombian Primera A on Wed 14 Oct, 23:30 at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín. Our prediction for Independiente Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba is Independiente Santa Fe to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Independiente Santa Fe to win at 1.31.

Independiente Santa Fe form

Independiente Santa Fe have 9 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Jaguares de Córdoba form

Jaguares de Córdoba have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Independiente Santa Fe won 0, Jaguares de Córdoba won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Jaguares de Córdoba 3, Independiente Santa Fe 1.

Our call

We expect Independiente Santa Fe to score about 2.1 goals and Jaguares de Córdoba about 0.7. That points to Independiente Santa Fe to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Independiente Santa Fe to win at 1.31. Our bold bet is Independiente Santa Fe to win and Over 2.5 at 2.46.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Santa FeJaguares
Games played2020
Wins93
Draws86
Losses311
Goals scored3222
Goals conceded1934
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game0.91.7
Home record6W 5D 1L3W 4D 4L
Away record3W 3D 2L0W 2D 7L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Independiente Santa Fe to win73%1.381.31-4.6%
A Draw20%5.074.50-11.3%
Jaguares de Córdoba to win8%12.129.00-25.8%
Over 2.5 goals49%2.061.80-12.7%
Under 2.5 goals46%2.171.87-14.0%
Independiente Santa Fe -1.543%2.301.95-15.3%
Jaguares de Córdoba +1.551%1.961.69-13.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.92
Over 3.5 goals30%3.35
Both teams to score43%2.30
Independiente Santa Fe or Draw90%1.11
Jaguares de Córdoba or Draw30%3.31
Independiente Santa Fe to win and Over 2.543%2.31
Jaguares de Córdoba to win and Over 2.55%19.55
Independiente Santa Fe clean sheet51%1.96
Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet12%8.05

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-013.8%
1-012.7%
3-09.6%
1-19.4%
2-19.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Independiente Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

Our prediction for Independiente Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba is Independiente Santa Fe to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Independiente Santa Fe to win at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Independiente Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 3-0. We expect Independiente Santa Fe to score 2.1 goals and Jaguares de Córdoba 0.7.

Will both teams score in Independiente Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Independiente Santa Fe last 20 games and 12 of Jaguares de Córdoba last 20.

How are Independiente Santa Fe playing?

Independiente Santa Fe have 9 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Jaguares de Córdoba playing?

Jaguares de Córdoba have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Independiente Santa Fe and Jaguares de Córdoba last met?

It ended Jaguares de Córdoba 3, Independiente Santa Fe 1. In the last 1 meeting Independiente Santa Fe won 0 and Jaguares de Córdoba won 1.

What is the best bet for Independiente Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

Independiente Santa Fe to win at 1.31, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Santa Fe against Jaguares. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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