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Predictions › Argentina › Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 8 Nov, 20:00 Argentina time

Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra prediction

Estadio Libertadores de América

IndependienteHome
0.96 : 0.56
expected goals
Deportivo RiestraAway
43%Independiente
37%Draw
20%Riestra
Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra is Independiente to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
Independiente to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Independiente 1.0, Deportivo Riestra 0.6
Best bet
Under 2.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
27%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
23% chanceFair price 4.431 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Independiente 43%, the draw 37% and Deportivo Riestra 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Independiente took 5 points from their last 5 games and Deportivo Riestra took 3 from 5. Independiente come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Independiente won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Deportivo Riestra won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Independiente score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.1. Deportivo Riestra score 0.7 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Independiente games and 3 of Deportivo Riestra games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Independiente won 1 and Deportivo Riestra won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Deportivo Riestra 2, Independiente 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 2.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Riestrarecent form-1%
  • Riestrarest between games-2%
Independiente form D D D L WRiestra form D D L D DHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra: Independiente shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Independiente host Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio Libertadores de América. Our prediction for Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra is Independiente to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.24.

Independiente form

Independiente have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Deportivo Riestra form

Deportivo Riestra have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Independiente won 1, Deportivo Riestra won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Deportivo Riestra 2, Independiente 0.

Our call

We expect Independiente to score about 1.0 goals and Deportivo Riestra about 0.6. That points to Independiente to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 4.43.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

IndependienteRiestra
Games played2020
Wins83
Draws58
Losses79
Goals scored2013
Goals conceded2220
Scored per game1.00.7
Conceded per game1.11.0
Home record3W 2D 4L3W 4D 3L
Away record5W 3D 3L0W 4D 6L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored45%30%
Over 2.5 goals35%15%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals46%2.19
Over 2.5 goals20%5.10
Over 3.5 goals7%14.67
Both teams to score27%3.68
Independiente or Draw80%1.25
Deportivo Riestra or Draw57%1.76
Independiente to win and Over 2.513%7.80
Deportivo Riestra to win and Over 2.55%19.54
Independiente clean sheet57%1.75
Deportivo Riestra clean sheet38%2.61

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-022.6%
1-020.3%
1-112.5%
0-111.6%
2-010.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

Our prediction for Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra is Independiente to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Independiente to score 1.0 goals and Deportivo Riestra 0.6.

Will both teams score in Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

Both teams to score has a 27% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Independiente last 20 games and 6 of Deportivo Riestra last 20.

How are Independiente playing?

Independiente have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Deportivo Riestra playing?

Deportivo Riestra have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Independiente and Deportivo Riestra last met?

It ended Deportivo Riestra 2, Independiente 0. In the last 2 meetings Independiente won 1 and Deportivo Riestra won 1.

What is the best bet for Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.24, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Independiente against Riestra. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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