Predictions › United States › Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers
NBAFri 20 Nov, 19:30 United States time

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction

Rocket Arena

Indiana PacersAway
114.0 : 122.0
projected points
Cleveland CavaliersHome
25%Pacers
75%Cavaliers
Eagle safe pickPacers +16.5
-312

Quick answer

Our prediction for Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 75% chance. We project Indiana Pacers 114.0 and Cleveland Cavaliers 122.0. Our best bet is Pacers +16.5 at -312.

Prediction
Cleveland Cavaliers to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
Indiana Pacers 114, Cleveland Cavaliers 122
Projected total
236.0 points
Best bet
Pacers +16.5 at -312

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pacers +16.5
76% chanceFair price -3122 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cleveland Cavaliers 75% and Indiana Pacers 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cleveland Cavaliers won 1 of their last 5 and Indiana Pacers won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cleveland Cavaliers won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Indiana Pacers won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Cleveland Cavaliers score 112.3 points a game and let in 115.5. Indiana Pacers score 112.7 and let in 115.7. Their recent games average 227.8 and 228.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Cleveland Cavaliers won 4 and Indiana Pacers won 0. The last one ended Cleveland Cavaliers 117, Indiana Pacers 108.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pacers +16.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cavaliersrest between games-5%
  • Pacersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers: Cleveland Cavaliers are favourites

The big picture

Cleveland Cavaliers host Indiana Pacers in the NBA on Fri 20 Nov, 19:30 at Rocket Arena. Our prediction for Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 75% chance. We project Indiana Pacers 114.0 and Cleveland Cavaliers 122.0. Our best bet is Pacers +16.5 at -312.

Cleveland Cavaliers form

Cleveland Cavaliers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2247 points scored and 2310 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Indiana Pacers form

Indiana Pacers have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2254 points scored and 2313 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Cleveland Cavaliers won 4, Indiana Pacers won 0. Last time out it finished Cleveland Cavaliers 117, Indiana Pacers 108.

Our call

We expect Indiana Pacers to score about 114.0 points and Cleveland Cavaliers about 122.0. That points to Cleveland Cavaliers to win. Our safest bet is Pacers +16.5 at -312.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CavaliersPacers
Games played2020
Wins75
Losses1315
Points scored22472254
Points conceded23102313
Scored per game112.3112.7
Conceded per game115.5115.7
Home record5W 6L1W 10L
Away record2W 7L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Cavaliers spreadCoversFair
Cavaliers -14.530%+231
Cavaliers -11.539%+156
Cavaliers -8.548%+106
Cavaliers -5.558%-138
Cavaliers -2.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
230.562%38%
233.556%44%
236.549%51%
239.542%58%
242.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Cavaliers +3.5 wins if Cavaliers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

Our prediction for Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 75% chance. We project Indiana Pacers 114.0 and Cleveland Cavaliers 122.0. Our best bet is Pacers +16.5 at -312.

What is the projected score for Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

We project Indiana Pacers 114.0 and Cleveland Cavaliers 122.0, about 236.0 points in total.

How are Cleveland Cavaliers playing?

Cleveland Cavaliers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2247 points scored and 2310 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Indiana Pacers playing?

Indiana Pacers have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2254 points scored and 2313 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Cleveland Cavaliers and Indiana Pacers last met?

It ended Cleveland Cavaliers 117, Indiana Pacers 108. In the last 4 meetings Cleveland Cavaliers won 4 and Indiana Pacers won 0.

What is the best bet for Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

Pacers +16.5 at -312, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cavaliers against Pacers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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