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Predictions › United States › Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks
NBAMon 9 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks prediction

American Airlines Center

Indiana PacersAway
118.4 : 120.6
projected points
Dallas MavericksHome
48%Pacers
52%Mavericks
Eagle safe pickPacers +10.5
-309

Quick answer

Our prediction for Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks is Dallas Mavericks to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Indiana Pacers 118.4 and Dallas Mavericks 120.6. Our best bet is Pacers +10.5 at -309.

Prediction
Dallas Mavericks to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Indiana Pacers 118, Dallas Mavericks 121
Projected total
239.0 points
Best bet
Pacers +10.5 at -309

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pacers +10.5
76% chanceFair price -3092 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pacers to win
42% chanceFair price +1401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dallas Mavericks 52% and Indiana Pacers 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dallas Mavericks won 4 of their last 5 and Indiana Pacers won 1 of their last 5. Dallas Mavericks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dallas Mavericks won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Indiana Pacers won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Dallas Mavericks score 115.5 points a game and let in 120.0. Indiana Pacers score 118.0 and let in 119.5. Their recent games average 235.6 and 237.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Dallas Mavericks won 3 and Indiana Pacers won 0. The last one ended Indiana Pacers 105, Dallas Mavericks 121.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pacers +10.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mavericksrest between games-5%
  • Pacersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks: Dallas Mavericks shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dallas Mavericks host Indiana Pacers in the NBA on Mon 9 Nov, 20:00 at American Airlines Center. Our prediction for Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks is Dallas Mavericks to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Indiana Pacers 118.4 and Dallas Mavericks 120.6. Our best bet is Pacers +10.5 at -309.

Dallas Mavericks form

Dallas Mavericks have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2311 points scored and 2400 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Indiana Pacers form

Indiana Pacers have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2360 points scored and 2389 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Dallas Mavericks won 3, Indiana Pacers won 0. Last time out it finished Indiana Pacers 105, Dallas Mavericks 121.

Our call

We expect Indiana Pacers to score about 118.4 points and Dallas Mavericks about 120.6. That points to Dallas Mavericks to win. Our safest bet is Pacers +10.5 at -309. Our bold bet is Pacers to win at +140.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MavericksPacers
Games played2020
Wins86
Losses1214
Points scored23112360
Points conceded24002389
Scored per game115.5118.0
Conceded per game120.0119.5
Home record4W 6L2W 9L
Away record4W 6L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Mavericks spreadCoversFair
Mavericks -8.531%+225
Mavericks -5.540%+152
Mavericks -2.549%+103
Mavericks +0.559%-142
Mavericks +3.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
233.562%38%
236.556%44%
239.549%51%
242.542%58%
245.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Mavericks +3.5 wins if Mavericks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Kyrie Irving Takes On Leadership Role Alongside Cooper Flagg in Dallas

Kyrie Irving is guiding young star Cooper Flagg as the Dallas Mavericks look to rebuild their culture and return to the playoffs.

28 Oct 2026
NBA

Rockets Trap Kyrie Irving as Dallas Drops Season Opener

Houston rolled to a 128-110 win over Dallas, swarming Kyrie Irving and building a massive lead in the second quarter.

22 Oct 2026
NBA

Tyrese Haliburton Return Leads Pacers Past Pelicans

Tyrese Haliburton scored 23 points in his return from an Achilles injury as the Indiana Pacers beat the New Orleans Pelicans 123-120.

22 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks?

Our prediction for Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks is Dallas Mavericks to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Indiana Pacers 118.4 and Dallas Mavericks 120.6. Our best bet is Pacers +10.5 at -309.

What is the projected score for Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks?

We project Indiana Pacers 118.4 and Dallas Mavericks 120.6, about 239.0 points in total.

How are Dallas Mavericks playing?

Dallas Mavericks have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2311 points scored and 2400 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Indiana Pacers playing?

Indiana Pacers have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2360 points scored and 2389 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Dallas Mavericks and Indiana Pacers last met?

It ended Indiana Pacers 105, Dallas Mavericks 121. In the last 3 meetings Dallas Mavericks won 3 and Indiana Pacers won 0.

What is the best bet for Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks?

Pacers +10.5 at -309, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mavericks against Pacers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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