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Predictions › United States › Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans
NBAWed 21 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction

Smoothie King Center

Indiana PacersAway
122.0 : 120.4
projected points
New Orleans PelicansHome
59%Pacers
41%Pelicans
Eagle safe pickPelicans +11.5
-327

Quick answer

Our prediction for Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans is Indiana Pacers to win, with a 59% chance. We project Indiana Pacers 122.0 and New Orleans Pelicans 120.4. Our best bet is Pelicans +11.5 at -327.

Prediction
Indiana Pacers to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Indiana Pacers 122, New Orleans Pelicans 120
Projected total
242.4 points
Best bet
Pelicans +11.5 at -327

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pelicans +11.5
77% chanceFair price -3272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pelicans to win
41% chancePrice +1301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New Orleans Pelicans 41% and Indiana Pacers 59%. The bookmakers agree and make Indiana Pacers the favourite at -155.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New Orleans Pelicans won 2 of their last 5 and Indiana Pacers won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New Orleans Pelicans won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Indiana Pacers won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New Orleans Pelicans score 116.9 points a game and let in 119.3. Indiana Pacers score 116.5 and let in 121.2. Their recent games average 236.2 and 237.6 points in total, and the market line is 243.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, New Orleans Pelicans won 1 and Indiana Pacers won 1. The last one ended Indiana Pacers 127, New Orleans Pelicans 119.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pelicans +11.5 has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pacersrest between games-5%
  • Pacersteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans: Indiana Pacers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New Orleans Pelicans host Indiana Pacers in the NBA on Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 at Smoothie King Center. Our prediction for Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans is Indiana Pacers to win, with a 59% chance. We project Indiana Pacers 122.0 and New Orleans Pelicans 120.4. Our best bet is Pelicans +11.5 at -327.

New Orleans Pelicans form

New Orleans Pelicans have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2338 points scored and 2385 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Indiana Pacers form

Indiana Pacers have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2329 points scored and 2423 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. New Orleans Pelicans won 1, Indiana Pacers won 1. Last time out it finished Indiana Pacers 127, New Orleans Pelicans 119.

Our call

We expect Indiana Pacers to score about 122.0 points and New Orleans Pelicans about 120.4. That points to Indiana Pacers to win. Our safest bet is Pelicans +11.5 at -327. Our bold bet is Pelicans to win at +130.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PelicansPacers
Games played2020
Wins75
Losses1315
Points scored23382329
Points conceded23852423
Scored per game116.9116.5
Conceded per game119.3121.2
Home record6W 3L2W 9L
Away record1W 10L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Pelicans to win41%+143+130-5.4%
Pacers to win53%-115-155-12.1%
Pelicans +3.552%-110-105+2.1%
Pacers -3.542%+136-115-20.9%
Over 243.5 points45%+121-105-11.6%
Under 243.5 points49%+103-115-7.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Pelicans spreadCoversFair
Pelicans -4.531%+220
Pelicans -1.540%+149
Pelicans +1.550%+101
Pelicans +4.559%-145
Pelicans +7.568%-214
Total pointsOverUnder
236.563%37%
239.556%44%
242.550%50%
245.543%57%
248.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pelicans +3.5 wins if Pelicans win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Tyrese Haliburton Scores Seven Points in Return to the Court

Tyrese Haliburton returned to action for the Indiana Pacers, scoring seven points in 16 minutes after missing more than 16 months with an injury.

8 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Our prediction for Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans is Indiana Pacers to win, with a 59% chance. We project Indiana Pacers 122.0 and New Orleans Pelicans 120.4. Our best bet is Pelicans +11.5 at -327.

What is the projected score for Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans?

We project Indiana Pacers 122.0 and New Orleans Pelicans 120.4, about 242.4 points in total.

How are New Orleans Pelicans playing?

New Orleans Pelicans have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2338 points scored and 2385 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Indiana Pacers playing?

Indiana Pacers have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2329 points scored and 2423 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when New Orleans Pelicans and Indiana Pacers last met?

It ended Indiana Pacers 127, New Orleans Pelicans 119. In the last 2 meetings New Orleans Pelicans won 1 and Indiana Pacers won 1.

What is the best bet for Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Pelicans +11.5 at -327, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pelicans against Pacers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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