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Predictions › United States › Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
NBATue 13 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction

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Indiana PacersAway
106.7 : 123.4
projected points
Oklahoma City ThunderHome
11%Pacers
89%Thunder
Eagle safe pickThunder -8.5
-307

Quick answer

Our prediction for Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 89% chance. We project Indiana Pacers 106.7 and Oklahoma City Thunder 123.4. Our best bet is Thunder -8.5 at -307.

Prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder to win
Chance
89%
Projected score
Indiana Pacers 107, Oklahoma City Thunder 123
Projected total
230.2 points
Best bet
Thunder -8.5 at -307

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Thunder -8.5
75% chanceFair price -3072 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oklahoma City Thunder 89% and Indiana Pacers 11%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oklahoma City Thunder won 2 of their last 5 and Indiana Pacers won 1 of their last 5. Oklahoma City Thunder come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Oklahoma City Thunder won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Indiana Pacers won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Oklahoma City Thunder score 117.0 points a game and let in 109.8. Indiana Pacers score 115.8 and let in 122.5. Their recent games average 226.8 and 238.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Oklahoma City Thunder won 1 and Indiana Pacers won 2. The last one ended Oklahoma City Thunder 114, Indiana Pacers 117.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Thunder -8.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Thunderrest between games-3%
  • Pacersrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Oklahoma City Thunder are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Oklahoma City Thunder host Indiana Pacers in the NBA on Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 at Paycom Center. Our prediction for Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 89% chance. We project Indiana Pacers 106.7 and Oklahoma City Thunder 123.4. Our best bet is Thunder -8.5 at -307.

Oklahoma City Thunder form

Oklahoma City Thunder have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2340 points scored and 2196 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Indiana Pacers form

Indiana Pacers have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2317 points scored and 2451 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Oklahoma City Thunder won 1, Indiana Pacers won 2. Last time out it finished Oklahoma City Thunder 114, Indiana Pacers 117.

Our call

We expect Indiana Pacers to score about 106.7 points and Oklahoma City Thunder about 123.4. That points to Oklahoma City Thunder to win. Our safest bet is Thunder -8.5 at -307.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ThunderPacers
Games played2020
Wins144
Losses616
Points scored23402317
Points conceded21962451
Scored per game117.0115.8
Conceded per game109.8122.5
Home record7W 3L1W 8L
Away record7W 3L3W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Thunder spreadCoversFair
Thunder -22.532%+211
Thunder -19.541%+143
Thunder -16.551%-103
Thunder -13.560%-151
Thunder -10.569%-223
Total pointsOverUnder
224.562%38%
227.556%44%
230.549%51%
233.543%57%
236.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Thunder +3.5 wins if Thunder win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

Our prediction for Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 89% chance. We project Indiana Pacers 106.7 and Oklahoma City Thunder 123.4. Our best bet is Thunder -8.5 at -307.

What is the projected score for Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

We project Indiana Pacers 106.7 and Oklahoma City Thunder 123.4, about 230.2 points in total.

How are Oklahoma City Thunder playing?

Oklahoma City Thunder have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2340 points scored and 2196 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Indiana Pacers playing?

Indiana Pacers have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2317 points scored and 2451 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers last met?

It ended Oklahoma City Thunder 114, Indiana Pacers 117. In the last 3 meetings Oklahoma City Thunder won 1 and Indiana Pacers won 2.

What is the best bet for Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

Thunder -8.5 at -307, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Thunder against Pacers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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