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Predictions › United States › Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans
NFLThu 19 Nov, 20:15 United States time

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans prediction

Reliant Stadium

Indianapolis ColtsAway
23.0 : 25.1
projected points
Houston TexansHome
49%Colts
51%Texans
Eagle safe pickUnder 55.5 points
-271

Quick answer

Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans is Houston Texans to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Indianapolis Colts 23.0 and Houston Texans 25.1. Our best bet is Under 55.5 points at -271.

Prediction
Houston Texans to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Indianapolis Colts 23, Houston Texans 25
Projected total
48.1 points
Best bet
Under 55.5 points at -271

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 55.5 points
73% chanceFair price -2711 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Colts to win
42% chanceFair price +1391 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Houston Texans 51% and Indianapolis Colts 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Houston Texans won 3 of their last 5 and Indianapolis Colts won 0 of their last 5. Houston Texans come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Houston Texans won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Indianapolis Colts won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Houston Texans score 23.9 points a game and let in 21.1. Indianapolis Colts score 19.8 and let in 27.6. Their recent games average 45.1 and 47.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Houston Texans won 2 and Indianapolis Colts won 1. The last one ended Indianapolis Colts 19, Houston Texans 17.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 55.5 points has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Texansrest between games-5%
  • Coltsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans: Houston Texans shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Houston Texans host Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Thu 19 Nov, 20:15 at Reliant Stadium. Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans is Houston Texans to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Indianapolis Colts 23.0 and Houston Texans 25.1. Our best bet is Under 55.5 points at -271.

Houston Texans form

Houston Texans have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 479 points scored and 423 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Indianapolis Colts form

Indianapolis Colts have 3 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 395 points scored and 552 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Houston Texans won 2, Indianapolis Colts won 1. Last time out it finished Indianapolis Colts 19, Houston Texans 17.

Our call

We expect Indianapolis Colts to score about 23.0 points and Houston Texans about 25.1. That points to Houston Texans to win. Our safest bet is Under 55.5 points at -271. Our bold bet is Colts to win at +139.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TexansColts
Games played2020
Wins113
Losses916
Points scored479395
Points conceded423552
Scored per game23.919.8
Conceded per game21.127.6
Home record4W 6L2W 8L
Away record7W 3L1W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Texans spreadCoversFair
Texans -9.529%+242
Texans -5.540%+149
Texans -2.549%+104
Texans +0.558%-137
Texans +4.569%-221
Total pointsOverUnder
41.569%31%
45.558%42%
48.549%51%
51.540%60%
55.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Texans +3.5 wins if Texans win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

Stroud Shines With Five Touchdowns as Texans Blow Out Chargers

C.J. Stroud tied his career high with five touchdown passes to lead the Houston Texans past the Chargers 44-22.

14 hours ago
NFL

Justin Herbert Suffers Finger Injury as Chargers Fall to 0-8

Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert injured his left hand during a 44-22 loss against Houston, dropping Los Angeles to 0-8 this season.

9 Nov 2026
NFL

Josh Downs Struggles as Colts Trade Rumors Swirl After Loss

Josh Downs had two big drops in the Colts 27-23 loss to Dallas as trade deadline rumors build in Indianapolis.

9 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans?

Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans is Houston Texans to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Indianapolis Colts 23.0 and Houston Texans 25.1. Our best bet is Under 55.5 points at -271.

What is the projected score for Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans?

We project Indianapolis Colts 23.0 and Houston Texans 25.1, about 48.1 points in total.

How are Houston Texans playing?

Houston Texans have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 479 points scored and 423 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Indianapolis Colts playing?

Indianapolis Colts have 3 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 395 points scored and 552 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts last met?

It ended Indianapolis Colts 19, Houston Texans 17. In the last 3 meetings Houston Texans won 2 and Indianapolis Colts won 1.

What is the best bet for Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans?

Under 55.5 points at -271, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Texans against Colts. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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