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Predictions › Argentina › Instituto (Córdoba) vs Boca Juniors
Argentina Liga ProfesionalFri 9 Oct, 22:30 Argentina time

Instituto (Córdoba) vs Boca Juniors prediction

Monumental Presidente Perón

Instituto (Córdoba)Home
1.34 : 1.26
expected goals
Boca JuniorsAway
38%Instituto
28%Draw
34%Boca
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Boca Juniors is Instituto (Córdoba) to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Instituto (Córdoba) to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Instituto (Córdoba) 1.3, Boca Juniors 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.331 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Instituto (Córdoba) 38%, the draw 28% and Boca Juniors 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Instituto (Córdoba) took 10 points from their last 5 games and Boca Juniors took 11 from 5. Boca Juniors come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Instituto (Córdoba) won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Boca Juniors won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Instituto (Córdoba) score 1.1 goals a game and let in 0.8. Boca Juniors score 1.4 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Instituto (Córdoba) games and 8 of Boca Juniors games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Instituto (Córdoba) won 0 and Boca Juniors won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Boca Juniors 2, Instituto (Córdoba) 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Institutorecent form+1%
  • Boca recent form+6%
Instituto form W W L W LBoca form W W D W WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Instituto (Córdoba) vs Boca Juniors: Instituto (Córdoba) shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Instituto (Córdoba) host Boca Juniors in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Fri 9 Oct, 22:30 at Monumental Presidente Perón. Our prediction for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Boca Juniors is Instituto (Córdoba) to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Instituto (Córdoba) form

Instituto (Córdoba) have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Boca Juniors form

Boca Juniors have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Instituto (Córdoba) won 0, Boca Juniors won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Boca Juniors 2, Instituto (Córdoba) 0.

Our call

We expect Instituto (Córdoba) to score about 1.3 goals and Boca Juniors about 1.3. That points to Instituto (Córdoba) to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.52.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

InstitutoBoca
Games played2020
Wins118
Draws37
Losses65
Goals scored2328
Goals conceded1720
Scored per game1.11.4
Conceded per game0.81.0
Home record7W 0D 2L4W 3D 2L
Away record4W 3D 4L4W 4D 3L
Clean sheets40%30%
Both teams scored40%50%
Over 2.5 goals30%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.08
Over 3.5 goals26%3.79
Both teams to score54%1.86
Instituto (Córdoba) or Draw66%1.52
Boca Juniors or Draw62%1.61
Instituto (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.522%4.52
Boca Juniors to win and Over 2.520%5.09
Instituto (Córdoba) clean sheet28%3.52
Boca Juniors clean sheet26%3.83

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
1-09.2%
0-18.6%
2-18.4%
0-08.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Instituto (Córdoba) vs Boca Juniors?

Our prediction for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Boca Juniors is Instituto (Córdoba) to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Boca Juniors?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Instituto (Córdoba) to score 1.3 goals and Boca Juniors 1.3.

Will both teams score in Instituto (Córdoba) vs Boca Juniors?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Instituto (Córdoba) last 20 games and 10 of Boca Juniors last 20.

How are Instituto (Córdoba) playing?

Instituto (Córdoba) have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Boca Juniors playing?

Boca Juniors have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Instituto (Córdoba) and Boca Juniors last met?

It ended Boca Juniors 2, Instituto (Córdoba) 0. In the last 1 meeting Instituto (Córdoba) won 0 and Boca Juniors won 1.

What is the best bet for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Boca Juniors?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Instituto against Boca . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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