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Predictions › Argentina › Instituto (Córdoba) vs Huracán
Argentina Liga ProfesionalMon 23 Nov, 01:00 Argentina time

Instituto (Córdoba) vs Huracán prediction

Mario Alberto Kempes

Instituto (Córdoba)Home
1.45 : 0.89
expected goals
HuracánAway
49%Instituto
28%Draw
23%Huracán
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Huracán is Instituto (Córdoba) to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
Instituto (Córdoba) to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Instituto (Córdoba) 1.4, Huracán 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Instituto (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Instituto (Córdoba) 49%, the draw 28% and Huracán 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Instituto (Córdoba) took 9 points from their last 5 games and Huracán took 3 from 5. Instituto (Córdoba) come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Instituto (Córdoba) won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Huracán won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Instituto (Córdoba) score 1.5 goals a game and let in 0.8. Huracán score 0.9 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Instituto (Córdoba) games and 6 of Huracán games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Institutorecent form+3%
  • Huracán recent form-4%
Instituto form D D W W DHuracán form W L L L LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Instituto (Córdoba) vs Huracán: Instituto (Córdoba) are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Instituto (Córdoba) host Huracán in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Mon 23 Nov, 01:00 at Mario Alberto Kempes. Our prediction for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Huracán is Instituto (Córdoba) to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Instituto (Córdoba) form

Instituto (Córdoba) have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Huracán form

Huracán have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Instituto (Córdoba) to score about 1.4 goals and Huracán about 0.9. That points to Instituto (Córdoba) to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Instituto (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.5 at 3.93.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

InstitutoHuracán
Games played2020
Wins127
Draws55
Losses38
Goals scored3018
Goals conceded1721
Scored per game1.50.9
Conceded per game0.81.1
Home record6W 2D 1L3W 3D 3L
Away record6W 3D 2L4W 2D 5L
Clean sheets45%35%
Both teams scored45%40%
Over 2.5 goals40%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.46
Over 2.5 goals41%2.41
Over 3.5 goals21%4.78
Both teams to score46%2.18
Instituto (Córdoba) or Draw77%1.29
Huracán or Draw51%1.97
Instituto (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.526%3.84
Huracán to win and Over 2.511%9.24
Instituto (Córdoba) clean sheet41%2.44
Huracán clean sheet24%4.25

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
1-013.2%
0-010.4%
2-010.1%
2-19.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Instituto (Córdoba) vs Huracán?

Our prediction for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Huracán is Instituto (Córdoba) to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Huracán?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Instituto (Córdoba) to score 1.4 goals and Huracán 0.9.

Will both teams score in Instituto (Córdoba) vs Huracán?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Instituto (Córdoba) last 20 games and 8 of Huracán last 20.

How are Instituto (Córdoba) playing?

Instituto (Córdoba) have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Huracán playing?

Huracán have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Huracán?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Instituto against Huracán . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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