Predictions › Argentina › Instituto (Córdoba) vs Newell's Old Boys
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 8 Nov, 20:00 Argentina time

Instituto (Córdoba) vs Newell's Old Boys prediction

Monumental Presidente Perón

Instituto (Córdoba)Home
1.51 : 0.69
expected goals
Newell's Old BoysAway
56%Instituto
27%Draw
16%Newell's
Eagle safe pickInstituto (Córdoba) or Draw
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Newell's Old Boys is Instituto (Córdoba) to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Instituto (Córdoba) or Draw at 1.19.

Prediction
Instituto (Córdoba) to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Instituto (Córdoba) 1.5, Newell's Old Boys 0.7
Best bet
Instituto (Córdoba) or Draw at 1.19
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Instituto (Córdoba) or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Instituto (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.661 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Instituto (Córdoba) 56%, the draw 27% and Newell's Old Boys 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Instituto (Córdoba) took 13 points from their last 5 games and Newell's Old Boys took 8 from 5. Instituto (Córdoba) come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Instituto (Córdoba) won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Newell's Old Boys won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Instituto (Córdoba) score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.7. Newell's Old Boys score 1.1 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Instituto (Córdoba) games and 6 of Newell's Old Boys games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Instituto (Córdoba) won 0 and Newell's Old Boys won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Newell's Old Boys 1, Instituto (Córdoba) 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Instituto (Córdoba) or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Institutorecent form+4%
  • Newell'srecent form+1%
  • Institutorest between games-2%
Instituto form D W D W WNewell's form D W L D WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Instituto (Córdoba) vs Newell's Old Boys: Instituto (Córdoba) are favourites

The big picture

Instituto (Córdoba) host Newell's Old Boys in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 at Monumental Presidente Perón. Our prediction for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Newell's Old Boys is Instituto (Córdoba) to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Instituto (Córdoba) or Draw at 1.19.

Instituto (Córdoba) form

Instituto (Córdoba) have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Newell's Old Boys form

Newell's Old Boys have 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Instituto (Córdoba) won 0, Newell's Old Boys won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Newell's Old Boys 1, Instituto (Córdoba) 1.

Our call

We expect Instituto (Córdoba) to score about 1.5 goals and Newell's Old Boys about 0.7. That points to Instituto (Córdoba) to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Instituto (Córdoba) or Draw at 1.19. Our bold bet is Instituto (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.5 at 3.66.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

InstitutoNewell's
Games played2020
Wins138
Draws39
Losses43
Goals scored2722
Goals conceded1415
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game0.70.8
Home record7W 1D 1L5W 5D 0L
Away record6W 2D 3L3W 4D 3L
Clean sheets50%40%
Both teams scored35%50%
Over 2.5 goals30%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.53
Over 2.5 goals38%2.64
Over 3.5 goals18%5.51
Both teams to score40%2.53
Instituto (Córdoba) or Draw84%1.19
Newell's Old Boys or Draw44%2.29
Instituto (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.528%3.60
Newell's Old Boys to win and Over 2.57%14.92
Instituto (Córdoba) clean sheet50%1.99
Newell's Old Boys clean sheet22%4.54

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-016.0%
2-012.6%
1-112.2%
0-011.7%
2-18.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Instituto (Córdoba) vs Newell's Old Boys?

Our prediction for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Newell's Old Boys is Instituto (Córdoba) to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Instituto (Córdoba) or Draw at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Newell's Old Boys?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Instituto (Córdoba) to score 1.5 goals and Newell's Old Boys 0.7.

Will both teams score in Instituto (Córdoba) vs Newell's Old Boys?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Instituto (Córdoba) last 20 games and 10 of Newell's Old Boys last 20.

How are Instituto (Córdoba) playing?

Instituto (Córdoba) have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Newell's Old Boys playing?

Newell's Old Boys have 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Instituto (Córdoba) and Newell's Old Boys last met?

It ended Newell's Old Boys 1, Instituto (Córdoba) 1. In the last 1 meeting Instituto (Córdoba) won 0 and Newell's Old Boys won 0.

What is the best bet for Instituto (Córdoba) vs Newell's Old Boys?

Instituto (Córdoba) or Draw at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Instituto against Newell's. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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