Predictions › United States › Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC
MLSSat 7 Nov, 16:00 United States time

Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC prediction

Nu Stadium

Inter Miami CFHome
2.83 : 1.68
expected goals
Charlotte FCAway
61%Miami
18%Draw
21%Charlotte
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
-485

Quick answer

Our prediction for Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -485.

Prediction
Inter Miami CF to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Inter Miami CF 2.8, Charlotte FC 1.7
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at -485
Both teams to score
77%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
83% chanceFair price -4852 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Inter Miami CF to win and both score
43% chanceFair price +1331 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Inter Miami CF 61%, the draw 18% and Charlotte FC 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Inter Miami CF took 9 points from their last 5 games and Charlotte FC took 4 from 5. Inter Miami CF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Inter Miami CF won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Charlotte FC won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Inter Miami CF score 2.5 goals a game and let in 1.7. Charlotte FC score 1.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Inter Miami CF games and 14 of Charlotte FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Inter Miami CF won 0 and Charlotte FC won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Charlotte FC 0, Inter Miami CF 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Miamirecent form+3%
  • Charlotterecent form-1%
Miami form D W W W LCharlotte form D D L W LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC: Inter Miami CF are favourites

The big picture

Inter Miami CF host Charlotte FC in the MLS on Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 at Nu Stadium. Our prediction for Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -485.

Inter Miami CF form

Inter Miami CF have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Charlotte FC form

Charlotte FC have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Inter Miami CF won 0, Charlotte FC won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Charlotte FC 0, Inter Miami CF 0.

Our call

We expect Inter Miami CF to score about 2.8 goals and Charlotte FC about 1.7. That points to Inter Miami CF to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at -485. Our bold bet is Inter Miami CF to win and both score at +133.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MiamiCharlotte
Games played2020
Wins109
Draws66
Losses45
Goals scored5137
Goals conceded3429
Scored per game2.51.9
Conceded per game1.71.4
Home record6W 4D 1L5W 3D 2L
Away record4W 2D 3L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored75%70%
Over 2.5 goals75%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals94%-1641
Over 2.5 goals83%-480
Over 3.5 goals66%-194
Both teams to score77%-332
Inter Miami CF or Draw79%-378
Charlotte FC or Draw39%+159
Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.554%-119
Charlotte FC to win and Over 2.518%+460
Inter Miami CF clean sheet19%+435
Charlotte FC clean sheet6%+1599

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-17.4%
3-17.0%
2-26.2%
3-25.9%
1-15.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC?

Our prediction for Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -485.

What is the score prediction for Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 2-2. We expect Inter Miami CF to score 2.8 goals and Charlotte FC 1.7.

Will both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC?

Both teams to score has a 77% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Inter Miami CF last 20 games and 14 of Charlotte FC last 20.

How are Inter Miami CF playing?

Inter Miami CF have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Charlotte FC playing?

Charlotte FC have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Inter Miami CF and Charlotte FC last met?

It ended Charlotte FC 0, Inter Miami CF 0. In the last 2 meetings Inter Miami CF won 0 and Charlotte FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC?

Over 2.5 goals at -485, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Miami against Charlotte. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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