Predictions › United States › Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew
MLSSat 21 Nov, 18:00 United States time

Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew prediction

Nu Stadium

Inter Miami CFHome
2.55 : 1.98
expected goals
Columbus CrewAway
51%Miami
19%Draw
30%Columbus
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
-478

Quick answer

Our prediction for Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -478.

Prediction
Inter Miami CF to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Inter Miami CF 2.5, Columbus Crew 2.0
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at -478
Both teams to score
80%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
83% chanceFair price -4782 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price +1351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Inter Miami CF 51%, the draw 19% and Columbus Crew 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Inter Miami CF took 8 points from their last 5 games and Columbus Crew took 15 from 5. Columbus Crew come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Inter Miami CF won 5 of their last 12 games at home. Columbus Crew won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Inter Miami CF score 2.4 goals a game and let in 1.8. Columbus Crew score 2.0 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Inter Miami CF games and 15 of Columbus Crew games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Inter Miami CF won 0 and Columbus Crew won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Columbus Crew 2, Inter Miami CF 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Miamirecent form+1%
  • Columbusrecent form+4%
Miami form D W D L WColumbus form W W W W LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew: Inter Miami CF are favourites

The big picture

Inter Miami CF host Columbus Crew in the MLS on Sat 21 Nov, 18:00 at Nu Stadium. Our prediction for Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -478.

Inter Miami CF form

Inter Miami CF have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 12. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Columbus Crew form

Columbus Crew have 11 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Inter Miami CF won 0, Columbus Crew won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Columbus Crew 2, Inter Miami CF 1.

Our call

We expect Inter Miami CF to score about 2.5 goals and Columbus Crew about 2.0. That points to Inter Miami CF to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at -478. Our bold bet is Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.5 at +135.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MiamiColumbus
Games played2020
Wins811
Draws81
Losses48
Goals scored4740
Goals conceded3529
Scored per game2.42.0
Conceded per game1.81.4
Home record5W 6D 1L7W 0D 4L
Away record3W 2D 3L4W 1D 4L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored80%65%
Over 2.5 goals80%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals94%-1679
Over 2.5 goals83%-489
Over 3.5 goals66%-197
Both teams to score80%-395
Inter Miami CF or Draw70%-233
Columbus Crew or Draw49%+102
Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.545%+124
Columbus Crew to win and Over 2.526%+283
Inter Miami CF clean sheet14%+625
Columbus Crew clean sheet8%+1183

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-16.9%
2-26.9%
3-15.9%
3-25.8%
1-15.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew?

Our prediction for Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -478.

What is the score prediction for Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-2 and 3-1. We expect Inter Miami CF to score 2.5 goals and Columbus Crew 2.0.

Will both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew?

Both teams to score has a 80% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Inter Miami CF last 20 games and 13 of Columbus Crew last 20.

How are Inter Miami CF playing?

Inter Miami CF have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 12. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Columbus Crew playing?

Columbus Crew have 11 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Inter Miami CF and Columbus Crew last met?

It ended Columbus Crew 2, Inter Miami CF 1. In the last 2 meetings Inter Miami CF won 0 and Columbus Crew won 1.

What is the best bet for Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew?

Over 2.5 goals at -478, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Miami against Columbus. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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