Predictions › United States › Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United
MLSSat 10 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United prediction

Nu Stadium

Inter Miami CFHome
2.41 : 1.73
expected goals
D.C. UnitedAway
53%Miami
20%Draw
27%D.C. United
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
-329

Quick answer

Our prediction for Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -329.

Prediction
Inter Miami CF to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Inter Miami CF 2.4, D.C. United 1.7
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at -329
Both teams to score
75%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
77% chanceFair price -3292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.5
42% chanceFair price +1391 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Inter Miami CF 53%, the draw 20% and D.C. United 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Inter Miami CF took 4 points from their last 5 games and D.C. United took 6 from 5. D.C. United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Inter Miami CF won 4 of their last 11 games at home. D.C. United won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Inter Miami CF score 2.5 goals a game and let in 1.9. D.C. United score 1.5 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Inter Miami CF games and 12 of D.C. United games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Inter Miami CF won 2 and D.C. United won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended D.C. United 1, Inter Miami CF 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Miami form L D W D DD.C. United form D L D W DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United: Inter Miami CF are favourites

The big picture

Inter Miami CF host D.C. United in the MLS on Sat 10 Oct, 19:30 at Nu Stadium. Our prediction for Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -329.

Inter Miami CF form

Inter Miami CF have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, D, newest first.

D.C. United form

D.C. United have 4 wins, 11 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Inter Miami CF won 2, D.C. United won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished D.C. United 1, Inter Miami CF 2.

Our call

We expect Inter Miami CF to score about 2.4 goals and D.C. United about 1.7. That points to Inter Miami CF to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at -329. Our bold bet is Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.5 at +139.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MiamiD.C. United
Games played2020
Wins94
Draws711
Losses45
Goals scored5130
Goals conceded3834
Scored per game2.51.5
Conceded per game1.91.7
Home record4W 5D 2L3W 5D 3L
Away record5W 2D 2L1W 6D 2L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored85%70%
Over 2.5 goals75%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals92%-1186
Over 2.5 goals78%-359
Over 3.5 goals59%-146
Both teams to score75%-305
Inter Miami CF or Draw73%-267
D.C. United or Draw47%+111
Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.545%+124
D.C. United to win and Over 2.523%+344
Inter Miami CF clean sheet18%+465
D.C. United clean sheet9%+1013

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.0%
1-17.0%
2-26.9%
3-16.4%
1-25.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United?

Our prediction for Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -329.

What is the score prediction for Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-2. We expect Inter Miami CF to score 2.4 goals and D.C. United 1.7.

Will both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United?

Both teams to score has a 75% chance. Both sides scored in 17 of Inter Miami CF last 20 games and 14 of D.C. United last 20.

How are Inter Miami CF playing?

Inter Miami CF have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, D, newest first.

How are D.C. United playing?

D.C. United have 4 wins, 11 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Inter Miami CF and D.C. United last met?

It ended D.C. United 1, Inter Miami CF 2. In the last 2 meetings Inter Miami CF won 2 and D.C. United won 0.

What is the best bet for Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United?

Over 2.5 goals at -329, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Miami against D.C. United. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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