Predictions › United States › Inter Miami CF vs FC Cincinnati
MLSWed 28 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Inter Miami CF vs FC Cincinnati prediction

Nu Stadium

Inter Miami CFHome
3.42 : 1.48
expected goals
FC CincinnatiAway
74%Miami
13%Draw
12%Cincinnati
Eagle safe pickInter Miami CF draw no bet
-571

Quick answer

Our prediction for Inter Miami CF vs FC Cincinnati is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is Inter Miami CF draw no bet at -571.

Prediction
Inter Miami CF to win
Chance
74%
Most likely score
3-1
Expected goals
Inter Miami CF 3.4, FC Cincinnati 1.5
Best bet
Inter Miami CF draw no bet at -571
Both teams to score
75%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Inter Miami CF draw no bet
85% chanceFair price -5712 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 3-1
7% chanceFair price +12591 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Inter Miami CF 74%, the draw 13% and FC Cincinnati 12%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Inter Miami CF took 10 points from their last 5 games and FC Cincinnati took 4 from 5. Inter Miami CF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Inter Miami CF won 6 of their last 12 games at home. FC Cincinnati won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Inter Miami CF score 2.7 goals a game and let in 1.8. FC Cincinnati score 2.1 and let in 2.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Inter Miami CF games and 16 of FC Cincinnati games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Inter Miami CF won 2 and FC Cincinnati won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended FC Cincinnati 3, Inter Miami CF 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Inter Miami CF draw no bet has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Miamirecent form+1%
  • Cincinnatirecent form-1%
  • Miamirest between games-5%
  • Cincinnatirest between games-5%
Miami form D W W L DCincinnati form D L W L DHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Inter Miami CF vs FC Cincinnati: Inter Miami CF are favourites

The big picture

Inter Miami CF host FC Cincinnati in the MLS on Wed 28 Oct, 19:30 at Nu Stadium. Our prediction for Inter Miami CF vs FC Cincinnati is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is Inter Miami CF draw no bet at -571.

Inter Miami CF form

Inter Miami CF have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

FC Cincinnati form

FC Cincinnati have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 47 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Inter Miami CF won 2, FC Cincinnati won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished FC Cincinnati 3, Inter Miami CF 5.

Our call

We expect Inter Miami CF to score about 3.4 goals and FC Cincinnati about 1.5. That points to Inter Miami CF to win, with 3-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Inter Miami CF draw no bet at -571. Our bold bet is Correct score 3-1 at +1259.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MiamiCincinnati
Games played2020
Wins107
Draws66
Losses47
Goals scored5443
Goals conceded3647
Scored per game2.72.1
Conceded per game1.82.4
Home record6W 4D 2L5W 2D 3L
Away record4W 2D 2L2W 4D 4L
Clean sheets20%5%
Both teams scored80%80%
Over 2.5 goals80%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals96%-2293
Over 2.5 goals87%-648
Over 3.5 goals72%-257
Both teams to score75%-298
Inter Miami CF or Draw88%-702
FC Cincinnati or Draw26%+286
Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.567%-207
FC Cincinnati to win and Over 2.511%+828
Inter Miami CF clean sheet23%+338
FC Cincinnati clean sheet3%+2957

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

3-17.4%
2-16.5%
4-16.3%
3-25.4%
3-05.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Inter Miami CF vs FC Cincinnati?

Our prediction for Inter Miami CF vs FC Cincinnati is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is Inter Miami CF draw no bet at -571.

What is the score prediction for Inter Miami CF vs FC Cincinnati?

3-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 4-1. We expect Inter Miami CF to score 3.4 goals and FC Cincinnati 1.5.

Will both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs FC Cincinnati?

Both teams to score has a 75% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Inter Miami CF last 20 games and 16 of FC Cincinnati last 20.

How are Inter Miami CF playing?

Inter Miami CF have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

How are FC Cincinnati playing?

FC Cincinnati have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 47 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Inter Miami CF and FC Cincinnati last met?

It ended FC Cincinnati 3, Inter Miami CF 5. In the last 2 meetings Inter Miami CF won 2 and FC Cincinnati won 0.

What is the best bet for Inter Miami CF vs FC Cincinnati?

Inter Miami CF draw no bet at -571, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Miami against Cincinnati. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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