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Predictions › United States › Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC
MLSWed 14 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC prediction

Nu Stadium

Inter Miami CFHome
2.01 : 1.60
expected goals
New York City FCAway
47%Miami
23%Draw
31%NYCFC
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-592

Quick answer

Our prediction for Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -592.

Prediction
Inter Miami CF to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Inter Miami CF 2.0, New York City FC 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -592
Both teams to score
70%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
86% chanceFair price -5922 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price +1871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Inter Miami CF 47%, the draw 23% and New York City FC 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Inter Miami CF took 4 points from their last 5 games and New York City FC took 5 from 5. New York City FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Inter Miami CF won 4 of their last 11 games at home. New York City FC won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Inter Miami CF score 2.5 goals a game and let in 1.9. New York City FC score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Inter Miami CF games and 10 of New York City FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Inter Miami CF won 3 and New York City FC won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended New York City FC 2, Inter Miami CF 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • NYCFCrecent form-1%
Miami form L D W D DNYCFC form D L W L DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC: Inter Miami CF are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Inter Miami CF host New York City FC in the MLS on Wed 14 Oct, 19:30 at Nu Stadium. Our prediction for Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -592.

Inter Miami CF form

Inter Miami CF have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, D, newest first.

New York City FC form

New York City FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Inter Miami CF won 3, New York City FC won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished New York City FC 2, Inter Miami CF 3.

Our call

We expect Inter Miami CF to score about 2.0 goals and New York City FC about 1.6. That points to Inter Miami CF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -592. Our bold bet is Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.5 at +187.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MiamiNYCFC
Games played2020
Wins95
Draws77
Losses48
Goals scored5127
Goals conceded3827
Scored per game2.51.4
Conceded per game1.91.4
Home record4W 5D 2L2W 3D 5L
Away record5W 2D 2L3W 4D 3L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored85%65%
Over 2.5 goals75%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%-736
Over 2.5 goals70%-232
Over 3.5 goals49%+105
Both teams to score70%-229
Inter Miami CF or Draw69%-228
New York City FC or Draw53%-113
Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.537%+173
New York City FC to win and Over 2.523%+330
Inter Miami CF clean sheet20%+395
New York City FC clean sheet13%+646

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.2%
2-18.7%
2-27.0%
1-27.0%
3-15.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLS

San Diego Holds Inter Miami to Fourth Straight Draw Despite Messi Goal

Lionel Messi scored his 101st goal for Inter Miami, but a late equalizer from San Diego's Anders Dreyer forced a 2-2 draw on Sunday night.

21 Sept 2026
MLS

Inter Miami Midfielder Alexander Shaw Sparking US and Colombia Tug of War

United States and Colombia are both battling to secure Inter Miami midfielder Alexander Shaw for the 2027 U20 World Cup.

15 Sept 2026
MLS

Inter Miami Settle for Draw as Nashville Grabs Late Stoppage Point

Nashville SC scored in stoppage time to earn a 2-2 draw against Inter Miami, keeping a nine-point lead at the top of the Eastern Conference.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC?

Our prediction for Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -592.

What is the score prediction for Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-2. We expect Inter Miami CF to score 2.0 goals and New York City FC 1.6.

Will both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC?

Both teams to score has a 70% chance. Both sides scored in 17 of Inter Miami CF last 20 games and 13 of New York City FC last 20.

How are Inter Miami CF playing?

Inter Miami CF have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, D, newest first.

How are New York City FC playing?

New York City FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Inter Miami CF and New York City FC last met?

It ended New York City FC 2, Inter Miami CF 3. In the last 3 meetings Inter Miami CF won 3 and New York City FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -592, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Miami against NYCFC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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