Predictions › Colombia › Internacional de Bogotá vs Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera ATue 20 Oct, 23:00 Colombia time

Internacional de Bogotá vs Fortaleza CEIF prediction

Metropolitano de Techo

Internacional de BogotáHome
1.44 : 1.15
expected goals
Fortaleza CEIFAway
43%Inter Bogotá
28%Draw
29%Fortaleza
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.34

Quick answer

Our prediction for Internacional de Bogotá vs Fortaleza CEIF is Internacional de Bogotá to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34.

Prediction
Internacional de Bogotá to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Internacional de Bogotá 1.4, Fortaleza CEIF 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.34
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.341 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.611 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Internacional de Bogotá 43%, the draw 28% and Fortaleza CEIF 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Internacional de Bogotá took 3 points from their last 5 games and Fortaleza CEIF took 4 from 5. Fortaleza CEIF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Internacional de Bogotá won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Fortaleza CEIF won 0 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Internacional de Bogotá score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.8. Fortaleza CEIF score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Internacional de Bogotá games and 11 of Fortaleza CEIF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Internacional de Bogotá won 0 and Fortaleza CEIF won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Fortaleza CEIF 1, Internacional de Bogotá 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Inter Bogotárecent form-3%
  • Fortalezarecent form-1%
  • Inter Bogotárest between games-5%
  • Fortalezarest between games-2%
Inter Bogotá form D D D L LFortaleza form D D D L DHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Internacional de Bogotá vs Fortaleza CEIF: Internacional de Bogotá shade it

The big picture

Internacional de Bogotá host Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombian Primera A on Tue 20 Oct, 23:00 at Metropolitano de Techo. Our prediction for Internacional de Bogotá vs Fortaleza CEIF is Internacional de Bogotá to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34.

Internacional de Bogotá form

Internacional de Bogotá have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Fortaleza CEIF form

Fortaleza CEIF have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Internacional de Bogotá won 0, Fortaleza CEIF won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Fortaleza CEIF 1, Internacional de Bogotá 1.

Our call

We expect Internacional de Bogotá to score about 1.4 goals and Fortaleza CEIF about 1.1. That points to Internacional de Bogotá to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.61.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Inter BogotáFortaleza
Games played2020
Wins43
Draws810
Losses87
Goals scored2623
Goals conceded3528
Scored per game1.31.1
Conceded per game1.81.4
Home record4W 3D 3L3W 4D 5L
Away record0W 5D 5L0W 6D 2L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored70%70%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.08
Over 3.5 goals26%3.80
Both teams to score53%1.89
Internacional de Bogotá or Draw71%1.42
Fortaleza CEIF or Draw57%1.76
Internacional de Bogotá to win and Over 2.525%3.96
Fortaleza CEIF to win and Over 2.517%6.02
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet32%3.16
Fortaleza CEIF clean sheet24%4.24

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-010.0%
2-19.0%
0-08.2%
0-17.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Internacional de Bogotá vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Our prediction for Internacional de Bogotá vs Fortaleza CEIF is Internacional de Bogotá to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34.

What is the score prediction for Internacional de Bogotá vs Fortaleza CEIF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Internacional de Bogotá to score 1.4 goals and Fortaleza CEIF 1.1.

Will both teams score in Internacional de Bogotá vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Internacional de Bogotá last 20 games and 14 of Fortaleza CEIF last 20.

How are Internacional de Bogotá playing?

Internacional de Bogotá have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Fortaleza CEIF playing?

Fortaleza CEIF have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Internacional de Bogotá and Fortaleza CEIF last met?

It ended Fortaleza CEIF 1, Internacional de Bogotá 1. In the last 2 meetings Internacional de Bogotá won 0 and Fortaleza CEIF won 1.

What is the best bet for Internacional de Bogotá vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.34, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Inter Bogotá against Fortaleza. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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