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Predictions › Colombia › Internacional de Bogotá vs Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera ASun 8 Nov, 20:30 Colombia time

Internacional de Bogotá vs Independiente Santa Fe prediction

Metropolitano de Techo

Internacional de BogotáHome
1.16 : 1.39
expected goals
Independiente Santa FeAway
31%Inter Bogotá
28%Draw
41%Santa Fe
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Internacional de Bogotá vs Independiente Santa Fe is Independiente Santa Fe to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Independiente Santa Fe to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Internacional de Bogotá 1.2, Independiente Santa Fe 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Internacional de Bogotá 31%, the draw 28% and Independiente Santa Fe 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Internacional de Bogotá took 8 points from their last 5 games and Independiente Santa Fe took 12 from 5. Independiente Santa Fe come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Internacional de Bogotá won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Independiente Santa Fe won 4 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Internacional de Bogotá score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.8. Independiente Santa Fe score 1.6 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Internacional de Bogotá games and 10 of Independiente Santa Fe games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Internacional de Bogotá won 0 and Independiente Santa Fe won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Independiente Santa Fe 3, Internacional de Bogotá 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Inter Bogotárecent form+1%
  • Santa Ferecent form+3%
  • Inter Bogotárest between games-5%
  • Santa Ferest between games-2%
Inter Bogotá form D L W W DSanta Fe form D W L W WHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Internacional de Bogotá vs Independiente Santa Fe: Independiente Santa Fe shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Internacional de Bogotá host Independiente Santa Fe in the Colombian Primera A on Sun 8 Nov, 20:30 at Metropolitano de Techo. Our prediction for Internacional de Bogotá vs Independiente Santa Fe is Independiente Santa Fe to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Internacional de Bogotá form

Internacional de Bogotá have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Independiente Santa Fe form

Independiente Santa Fe have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Internacional de Bogotá won 0, Independiente Santa Fe won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Independiente Santa Fe 3, Internacional de Bogotá 1.

Our call

We expect Internacional de Bogotá to score about 1.2 goals and Independiente Santa Fe about 1.4. That points to Independiente Santa Fe to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.50.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Inter BogotáSanta Fe
Games played2020
Wins411
Draws86
Losses83
Goals scored2431
Goals conceded3517
Scored per game1.21.6
Conceded per game1.80.8
Home record4W 3D 3L7W 4D 1L
Away record0W 5D 5L4W 2D 2L
Clean sheets15%35%
Both teams scored70%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.13
Over 3.5 goals25%3.94
Both teams to score52%1.91
Internacional de Bogotá or Draw59%1.71
Independiente Santa Fe or Draw69%1.44
Internacional de Bogotá to win and Over 2.517%5.86
Independiente Santa Fe to win and Over 2.524%4.20
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet25%4.02
Independiente Santa Fe clean sheet31%3.20

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
0-110.1%
1-28.8%
0-08.5%
1-08.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Internacional de Bogotá vs Independiente Santa Fe?

Our prediction for Internacional de Bogotá vs Independiente Santa Fe is Independiente Santa Fe to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Internacional de Bogotá vs Independiente Santa Fe?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Internacional de Bogotá to score 1.2 goals and Independiente Santa Fe 1.4.

Will both teams score in Internacional de Bogotá vs Independiente Santa Fe?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Internacional de Bogotá last 20 games and 11 of Independiente Santa Fe last 20.

How are Internacional de Bogotá playing?

Internacional de Bogotá have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Independiente Santa Fe playing?

Independiente Santa Fe have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Internacional de Bogotá and Independiente Santa Fe last met?

It ended Independiente Santa Fe 3, Internacional de Bogotá 1. In the last 2 meetings Internacional de Bogotá won 0 and Independiente Santa Fe won 2.

What is the best bet for Internacional de Bogotá vs Independiente Santa Fe?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Inter Bogotá against Santa Fe. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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