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Colombian Primera ASat 12 Sept, 21:05 Colombia time

Internacional de Bogotá vs Llaneros FC prediction

Metropolitano de Techo

Internacional de BogotáHome

3-2

final score

Llaneros FCAway

47%Inter Bogotá

29%Draw

24%Llaneros FC

Quick answer

Our prediction for Internacional de Bogotá vs Llaneros FC is Internacional de Bogotá to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1.

Prediction: Internacional de Bogotá to win
Chance: 47%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Internacional de Bogotá 1.4, Llaneros FC 0.9
Best bet: No bet for now
Both teams to score: 45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Picks are made up to two hours before kick off and then locked, so there are none for this game.

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Internacional de Bogotá 47%, the draw 29% and Llaneros FC 24%. The bookmakers agree and make Internacional de Bogotá the favourite at 1.87.
2
Recent form
Internacional de Bogotá took 5 points from their last 5 games and Llaneros FC took 4 from 5. Internacional de Bogotá come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Internacional de Bogotá won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Llaneros FC won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Internacional de Bogotá score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Llaneros FC score 0.9 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Internacional de Bogotá games and 6 of Llaneros FC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Internacional de Bogotá won 0 and Llaneros FC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Llaneros FC 1, Internacional de Bogotá 1.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Internacional de Bogotá vs Llaneros FC: Internacional de Bogotá are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Internacional de Bogotá host Llaneros FC in the Colombian Primera A on Sat 12 Sept, 21:05 at Metropolitano de Techo. Our prediction for Internacional de Bogotá vs Llaneros FC is Internacional de Bogotá to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1.

Internacional de Bogotá form

Internacional de Bogotá have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, D, newest first.

Llaneros FC form

Llaneros FC have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Internacional de Bogotá won 0, Llaneros FC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Llaneros FC 1, Internacional de Bogotá 1.

Our call

We expect Internacional de Bogotá to score about 1.4 goals and Llaneros FC about 0.9. That points to Internacional de Bogotá to win, with 1-1 the most likely score.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Inter Bogotá	Llaneros FC
Games played	20	20
Wins	3	5
Draws	9	9
Losses	8	6
Goals scored	22	19
Goals conceded	33	23
Scored per game	1.1	0.9
Conceded per game	1.6	1.1
Home record	3W 4D 3L	3W 5D 2L
Away record	0W 5D 5L	2W 4D 4L
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Both teams scored	65%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Internacional de Bogotá to win	47%	2.13	1.87	-12.3%
A Draw	29%	3.43	3.15	-8.1%
Llaneros FC to win	24%	4.18	4.30	+2.9%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	2.49	2.30	-7.5%
Under 2.5 goals	60%	1.67	1.57	-6.1%
Internacional de Bogotá -0.5	49%	2.02	1.83	-9.4%
Llaneros FC +0.5	51%	1.98	1.87	-5.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	67%	1.50
Over 2.5 goals	39%	2.54
Over 3.5 goals	19%	5.19
Both teams to score	45%	2.23
Internacional de Bogotá or Draw	76%	1.31
Llaneros FC or Draw	53%	1.88
Internacional de Bogotá to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.21
Llaneros FC to win and Over 2.5	11%	8.98
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet	41%	2.45
Llaneros FC clean sheet	26%	3.91

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%

1-013.5%

0-011.2%

2-09.7%

2-18.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Internacional de Bogotá vs Llaneros FC?

Our prediction for Internacional de Bogotá vs Llaneros FC is Internacional de Bogotá to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1.

What is the score prediction for Internacional de Bogotá vs Llaneros FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Internacional de Bogotá to score 1.4 goals and Llaneros FC 0.9.

Will both teams score in Internacional de Bogotá vs Llaneros FC?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Internacional de Bogotá last 20 games and 10 of Llaneros FC last 20.

How are Internacional de Bogotá playing?

How are Llaneros FC playing?

What happened when Internacional de Bogotá and Llaneros FC last met?

It ended Llaneros FC 1, Internacional de Bogotá 1. In the last 1 meeting Internacional de Bogotá won 0 and Llaneros FC won 0.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Inter Bogotá against Llaneros FC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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