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Predictions › Brazil › Internacional vs Botafogo
BrasileiraoSat 24 Oct, 19:30 Brazil time

Internacional vs Botafogo prediction

Estadio Beira-Rio

InternacionalHome
1.39 : 0.99
expected goals
BotafogoAway
45%Internacional
29%Draw
26%Botafogo
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Internacional vs Botafogo is Internacional to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Internacional to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Internacional 1.4, Botafogo 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Internacional 45%, the draw 29% and Botafogo 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Internacional took 7 points from their last 5 games and Botafogo took 5 from 5. Internacional come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Internacional won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Botafogo won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Internacional score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.4. Botafogo score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Internacional games and 10 of Botafogo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Internacional won 1 and Botafogo won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Botafogo 2, Internacional 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Botafogorecent form-1%
  • Botafogorest between games-2%
Internacional form D W L W LBotafogo form D L L W DHome edge in this league 40% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Internacional vs Botafogo: Internacional are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Internacional host Botafogo in the Brasileirao on Sat 24 Oct, 19:30 at Estadio Beira-Rio. Our prediction for Internacional vs Botafogo is Internacional to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Internacional form

Internacional have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Botafogo form

Botafogo have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Internacional won 1, Botafogo won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Botafogo 2, Internacional 2.

Our call

We expect Internacional to score about 1.4 goals and Botafogo about 1.0. That points to Internacional to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

InternacionalBotafogo
Games played2020
Wins45
Draws88
Losses87
Goals scored2425
Goals conceded2827
Scored per game1.21.3
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record3W 4D 3L3W 5D 3L
Away record1W 4D 5L2W 3D 4L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.44
Over 2.5 goals42%2.36
Over 3.5 goals22%4.61
Both teams to score48%2.09
Internacional or Draw74%1.35
Botafogo or Draw55%1.82
Internacional to win and Over 2.524%4.14
Botafogo to win and Over 2.513%7.59
Internacional clean sheet37%2.70
Botafogo clean sheet25%3.99

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
1-012.1%
0-010.0%
2-08.9%
2-18.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Internacional vs Botafogo?

Our prediction for Internacional vs Botafogo is Internacional to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Internacional vs Botafogo?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Internacional to score 1.4 goals and Botafogo 1.0.

Will both teams score in Internacional vs Botafogo?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Internacional last 20 games and 14 of Botafogo last 20.

How are Internacional playing?

Internacional have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Botafogo playing?

Botafogo have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Internacional and Botafogo last met?

It ended Botafogo 2, Internacional 2. In the last 2 meetings Internacional won 1 and Botafogo won 0.

What is the best bet for Internacional vs Botafogo?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Internacional against Botafogo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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