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BrasileiraoWed 4 Nov, 00:30 Brazil time

Internacional vs Coritiba prediction

Estadio Beira-Rio

InternacionalHome

1.70 : 0.94

expected goals

CoritibaAway

55%Internacional

25%Draw

20%Coritiba

Eagle safe pickInternacional or Draw

1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Internacional vs Coritiba is Internacional to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Internacional or Draw at 1.26.

Prediction: Internacional to win
Chance: 55%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Internacional 1.7, Coritiba 0.9
Best bet: Internacional or Draw at 1.26
Both teams to score: 50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Internacional or Draw

80% chanceFair price 1.262 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Internacional to win and Over 2.5

32% chanceFair price 3.161 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Internacional 55%, the draw 25% and Coritiba 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Internacional took 7 points from their last 5 games and Coritiba took 2 from 5. Internacional come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Internacional won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Coritiba won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Internacional score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Coritiba score 1.3 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Internacional games and 13 of Coritiba games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Internacional won 0 and Coritiba won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Coritiba 2, Internacional 2.
6
The safest bet
Internacional or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Internacionalrecent form-1%
Coritibarecent form-3%
Internacionalrest between games-5%

Internacional form D L D W LCoritiba form D D L L DHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Internacional vs Coritiba: Internacional are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Internacional host Coritiba in the Brasileirao on Wed 4 Nov, 00:30 at Estadio Beira-Rio. Our prediction for Internacional vs Coritiba is Internacional to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Internacional or Draw at 1.26.

Internacional form

Internacional have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Coritiba form

Coritiba have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Internacional won 0, Coritiba won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Coritiba 2, Internacional 2.

Our call

We expect Internacional to score about 1.7 goals and Coritiba about 0.9. That points to Internacional to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Internacional or Draw at 1.26. Our bold bet is Internacional to win and Over 2.5 at 3.16.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Internacional	Coritiba
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	6
Draws	7	5
Losses	8	9
Goals scored	26	25
Goals conceded	28	37
Scored per game	1.3	1.3
Conceded per game	1.4	1.9
Home record	4W 3D 2L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	1W 4D 6L	2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets	20%	15%
Both teams scored	60%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	75%	1.34
Over 2.5 goals	49%	2.04
Over 3.5 goals	27%	3.68
Both teams to score	50%	1.98
Internacional or Draw	80%	1.25
Coritiba or Draw	45%	2.20
Internacional to win and Over 2.5	33%	3.06
Coritiba to win and Over 2.5	11%	9.19
Internacional clean sheet	39%	2.56
Coritiba clean sheet	18%	5.45

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%

1-011.5%

2-010.3%

2-19.7%

0-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Internacional vs Coritiba?

Our prediction for Internacional vs Coritiba is Internacional to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Internacional or Draw at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Internacional vs Coritiba?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Internacional to score 1.7 goals and Coritiba 0.9.

Will both teams score in Internacional vs Coritiba?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Internacional last 20 games and 11 of Coritiba last 20.

How are Internacional playing?

How are Coritiba playing?

What happened when Internacional and Coritiba last met?

It ended Coritiba 2, Internacional 2. In the last 1 meeting Internacional won 0 and Coritiba won 0.

What is the best bet for Internacional vs Coritiba?

Internacional or Draw at 1.26, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Internacional against Coritiba. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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