Predictions › Italy › Internazionale vs Como
Serie ASun 8 Nov, 17:00 Italy time

Internazionale vs Como prediction

San Siro

InternazionaleHome
1.74 : 1.46
expected goals
ComoAway
44%Inter Milan
24%Draw
32%Como
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Internazionale vs Como is Internazionale to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
Internazionale to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Internazionale 1.7, Como 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Internazionale to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Internazionale 44%, the draw 24% and Como 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Internazionale took 12 points from their last 5 games and Como took 12 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Internazionale won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Como won 7 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Internazionale score 2.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Como score 1.9 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Internazionale games and 11 of Como games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Internazionale won 2 and Como won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Como 3, Internazionale 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Inter Milanrecent form+3%
  • Comorecent form+3%
  • Inter Milanrest between games-5%
  • Comorest between games-5%
Inter Milan form D W W W LComo form D W W W LHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Internazionale vs Como: Internazionale shade it

The big picture

Internazionale host Como in the Serie A on Sun 8 Nov, 17:00 at San Siro. Our prediction for Internazionale vs Como is Internazionale to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Internazionale form

Internazionale have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Como form

Como have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Internazionale won 2, Como won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Como 3, Internazionale 4.

Our call

We expect Internazionale to score about 1.7 goals and Como about 1.5. That points to Internazionale to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Internazionale to win and Over 2.5 at 3.31.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Inter MilanComo
Games played2020
Wins1412
Draws44
Losses24
Goals scored5339
Goals conceded2720
Scored per game2.61.9
Conceded per game1.41.0
Home record9W 1D 1L5W 2D 1L
Away record5W 3D 1L7W 2D 3L
Clean sheets35%35%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals75%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.61
Over 3.5 goals40%2.52
Both teams to score64%1.57
Internazionale or Draw68%1.47
Como or Draw56%1.78
Internazionale to win and Over 2.531%3.21
Como to win and Over 2.522%4.53
Internazionale clean sheet23%4.30
Como clean sheet18%5.70

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.0%
2-19.0%
1-27.6%
2-26.6%
1-06.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Internazionale vs Como?

Our prediction for Internazionale vs Como is Internazionale to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Internazionale vs Como?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Internazionale to score 1.7 goals and Como 1.5.

Will both teams score in Internazionale vs Como?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Internazionale last 20 games and 12 of Como last 20.

How are Internazionale playing?

Internazionale have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Como playing?

Como have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Internazionale and Como last met?

It ended Como 3, Internazionale 4. In the last 2 meetings Internazionale won 2 and Como won 0.

What is the best bet for Internazionale vs Como?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Inter Milan against Como. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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