Predictions › United States › Iowa State Cyclones vs UCF Knights
College FootballFri 20 Nov, 18:00 United States time

Iowa State Cyclones vs UCF Knights prediction

Acrisure Bounce House

Iowa State CyclonesAway
19.3 : 31.5
projected points
UCF KnightsHome
22%Iowa State
78%UCF
Eagle safe pickUCF to win
-357

Quick answer

Our prediction for Iowa State Cyclones vs UCF Knights is UCF Knights to win, with a 78% chance. We project Iowa State Cyclones 19.3 and UCF Knights 31.5. Our best bet is UCF to win at -357.

Prediction
UCF Knights to win
Chance
78%
Projected score
Iowa State Cyclones 19, UCF Knights 31
Projected total
50.8 points
Best bet
UCF to win at -357

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

UCF to win
78% chanceFair price -3572 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UCF Knights 78% and Iowa State Cyclones 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UCF Knights won 2 of their last 5 and Iowa State Cyclones won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UCF Knights won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Iowa State Cyclones won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    UCF Knights score 25.2 points a game and let in 26.3. Iowa State Cyclones score 27.6 and let in 25.6. Their recent games average 51.5 and 53.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    UCF to win has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Iowa State Cyclones vs UCF Knights: UCF Knights are favourites

The big picture

UCF Knights host Iowa State Cyclones in the College Football on Fri 20 Nov, 18:00 at Acrisure Bounce House. Our prediction for Iowa State Cyclones vs UCF Knights is UCF Knights to win, with a 78% chance. We project Iowa State Cyclones 19.3 and UCF Knights 31.5. Our best bet is UCF to win at -357.

UCF Knights form

UCF Knights have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 478 points scored and 500 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Iowa State Cyclones form

Iowa State Cyclones have 9 wins and 9 losses in their last 18 games, with 497 points scored and 461 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Iowa State Cyclones to score about 19.3 points and UCF Knights about 31.5. That points to UCF Knights to win. Our safest bet is UCF to win at -357.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

UCFIowa State
Games played1918
Wins89
Losses119
Points scored478497
Points conceded500461
Scored per game25.227.6
Conceded per game26.325.6
Home record7W 3L6W 3L
Away record1W 8L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UCF spreadCoversFair
UCF -19.532%+210
UCF -15.542%+140
UCF -12.549%+104
UCF -9.557%-130
UCF -5.566%-195
Total pointsOverUnder
43.568%32%
47.558%42%
50.551%49%
53.543%57%
57.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UCF +3.5 wins if UCF win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Iowa State Cyclones vs UCF Knights?

Our prediction for Iowa State Cyclones vs UCF Knights is UCF Knights to win, with a 78% chance. We project Iowa State Cyclones 19.3 and UCF Knights 31.5. Our best bet is UCF to win at -357.

What is the projected score for Iowa State Cyclones vs UCF Knights?

We project Iowa State Cyclones 19.3 and UCF Knights 31.5, about 50.8 points in total.

How are UCF Knights playing?

UCF Knights have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 478 points scored and 500 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Iowa State Cyclones playing?

Iowa State Cyclones have 9 wins and 9 losses in their last 18 games, with 497 points scored and 461 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Iowa State Cyclones vs UCF Knights?

UCF to win at -357, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UCF against Iowa State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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