Predictions › United Kingdom › Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth

Premier LeagueSun 8 Nov, 14:00 United Kingdom time

Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth prediction

Portman Road

Ipswich TownHome

1.24 : 1.68

expected goals

AFC BournemouthAway

27%Ipswich

25%Draw

47%Bournemouth

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth is AFC Bournemouth to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction: AFC Bournemouth to win
Chance: 47%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Ipswich Town 1.2, AFC Bournemouth 1.7
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score: 58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1/42 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Ipswich Town to win

27% chancePrice 13/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Ipswich Town 27%, the draw 25% and AFC Bournemouth 47%. The bookmakers agree and make AFC Bournemouth the favourite at 10/11.
2
Recent form
Ipswich Town took 4 points from their last 5 games and AFC Bournemouth took 15 from 5. AFC Bournemouth come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Ipswich Town won 5 of their last 10 games at home. AFC Bournemouth won 5 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Ipswich Town score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.5. AFC Bournemouth score 1.9 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Ipswich Town games and 14 of AFC Bournemouth games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Ipswichrecent form-3%
Bournemouthrecent form+6%
Bournemouthrest between games-5%

Ipswich form D L W L LBournemouth form D W W W WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Ipswich Town host AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League on Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 at Portman Road. Our prediction for Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth is AFC Bournemouth to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Ipswich Town form

Ipswich Town have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

AFC Bournemouth form

AFC Bournemouth have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Ipswich Town to score about 1.2 goals and AFC Bournemouth about 1.7. That points to AFC Bournemouth to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Ipswich Town to win at 13/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Ipswich	Bournemouth
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	11
Draws	5	6
Losses	6	3
Goals scored	33	39
Goals conceded	30	20
Scored per game	1.6	1.9
Conceded per game	1.5	1.0
Home record	5W 3D 2L	6W 4D 1L
Away record	4W 2D 4L	5W 2D 2L
Clean sheets	20%	40%
Both teams scored	65%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Ipswich Town to win	27%	11/4	13/5	-2.0%
A Draw	25%	3/1	13/5	-9.1%
AFC Bournemouth to win	45%	5/4	10/11	-14.2%
Over 2.5 goals	51%	Evens	4/6	-15.0%
Under 2.5 goals	43%	11/8	11/10	-10.1%
Ipswich Town +0.5	48%	11/10	4/5	-14.1%
AFC Bournemouth -0.5	46%	6/5	5/6	-15.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	80%	1/4
Over 2.5 goals	56%	4/5
Over 3.5 goals	34%	2/1
Both teams to score	58%	8/11
Ipswich Town or Draw	53%	10/11
AFC Bournemouth or Draw	73%	4/11
Ipswich Town to win and Over 2.5	17%	5/1
AFC Bournemouth to win and Over 2.5	31%	11/5
Ipswich Town clean sheet	19%	9/2
AFC Bournemouth clean sheet	29%	12/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%

1-29.5%

0-18.4%

0-27.6%

2-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Premier League

Carrick Under Heavy Fire After Manchester United Lose 3-0 To Bournemouth

Michael Carrick faces the sack after Manchester United fell to a 3-0 home defeat against Bournemouth at Old Trafford.

25 Oct 2026

Premier League

Iraola Faces Tricky Bournemouth Return as Liverpool Manager

Andoni Iraola prepares to face his former club Bournemouth as unbeaten Liverpool look to exploit extra rest days.

19 Sept 2026

Premier League

Manchester United Eye Bournemouth Defender Adrien Truffert

Manchester United are looking at Bournemouth's Adrien Truffert as a potential replacement for Luke Shaw, but he will cost £60 million.

12 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth?

Our prediction for Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth is AFC Bournemouth to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Ipswich Town to score 1.2 goals and AFC Bournemouth 1.7.

Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Ipswich Town last 20 games and 11 of AFC Bournemouth last 20.

How are Ipswich Town playing?

How are AFC Bournemouth playing?

What is the best bet for Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ipswich against Bournemouth. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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