Predictions › United Kingdom › Ipswich Town vs Fulham
Premier LeagueSat 10 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Ipswich Town vs Fulham prediction

Portman Road

Ipswich TownHome
1.37 : 1.37
expected goals
FulhamAway
37%Ipswich
27%Draw
36%Fulham
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ipswich Town vs Fulham is Ipswich Town to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Ipswich Town to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Ipswich Town 1.4, Fulham 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ipswich Town 37%, the draw 27% and Fulham 36%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Fulham the favourite at 6/4, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ipswich Town took 3 points from their last 5 games and Fulham took 5 from 5. Fulham come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ipswich Town won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Fulham won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Ipswich Town score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Fulham score 1.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Ipswich Town games and 8 of Fulham games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ipswichrecent form-4%
  • Fulhamrecent form-1%
Ipswich form L L W L LFulham form D W D L LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ipswich Town vs Fulham: Ipswich Town shade it

The big picture

Ipswich Town host Fulham in the Premier League on Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 at Portman Road. Our prediction for Ipswich Town vs Fulham is Ipswich Town to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Ipswich Town form

Ipswich Town have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Fulham form

Fulham have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Ipswich Town to score about 1.4 goals and Fulham about 1.4. That points to Ipswich Town to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

IpswichFulham
Games played2020
Wins97
Draws65
Losses58
Goals scored3323
Goals conceded2922
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.41.1
Home record5W 3D 2L5W 1D 5L
Away record4W 3D 3L2W 4D 3L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored60%40%
Over 2.5 goals55%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Ipswich Town to win35%15/88/5-10.1%
A Draw26%11/45/2-8.1%
Fulham to win34%15/86/4-14.3%
Over 2.5 goals50%Evens8/11-13.5%
Under 2.5 goals44%5/4Evens-11.9%
Ipswich Town +0.559%4/61/2-11.8%
Fulham -0.536%9/55/4-17.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%3/10
Over 2.5 goals52%10/11
Over 3.5 goals30%12/5
Both teams to score56%4/5
Ipswich Town or Draw64%4/7
Fulham or Draw63%4/7
Ipswich Town to win and Over 2.522%7/2
Fulham to win and Over 2.522%7/2
Ipswich Town clean sheet26%3/1
Fulham clean sheet25%3/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
2-18.3%
1-28.3%
1-08.1%
0-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Ipswich Town vs Fulham?

Our prediction for Ipswich Town vs Fulham is Ipswich Town to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Ipswich Town vs Fulham?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Ipswich Town to score 1.4 goals and Fulham 1.4.

Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Fulham?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Ipswich Town last 20 games and 8 of Fulham last 20.

How are Ipswich Town playing?

Ipswich Town have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Fulham playing?

Fulham have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Ipswich Town vs Fulham?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ipswich against Fulham. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.