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Predictions › Greece › Iraklis vs Levadiakos
Greek Super LeagueSun 11 Oct, 14:00 Greece time

Iraklis vs Levadiakos prediction

Kaftanzoglio Ethniko Stadio

IraklisHome
1.31 : 1.00
expected goals
LevadiakosAway
43%Iraklis
29%Draw
28%Levadiakos
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Iraklis vs Levadiakos is Iraklis to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Iraklis to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Iraklis 1.3, Levadiakos 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Iraklis 43%, the draw 29% and Levadiakos 28%. The bookmakers agree and make Iraklis the favourite at 2.25.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Iraklis took 6 points from their last 5 games and Levadiakos took 1 from 5. Iraklis come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Iraklis score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.2. Levadiakos score 1.1 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Iraklis games and 11 of Levadiakos games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Levadiakosrecent form-6%
Iraklis form D D W D LLevadiakos form L D L L LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Iraklis vs Levadiakos: Iraklis shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Iraklis host Levadiakos in the Greek Super League on Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 at Kaftanzoglio Ethniko Stadio. Our prediction for Iraklis vs Levadiakos is Iraklis to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Iraklis form

Iraklis have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 games, with 4 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 1. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Levadiakos form

Levadiakos have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Iraklis to score about 1.3 goals and Levadiakos about 1.0. That points to Iraklis to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

IraklisLevadiakos
Games played520
Wins15
Draws34
Losses111
Goals scored421
Goals conceded637
Scored per game0.81.1
Conceded per game1.21.9
Home record0W 1D 0L4W 2D 4L
Away record1W 2D 1L1W 2D 7L
Clean sheets40%20%
Both teams scored40%35%
Over 2.5 goals20%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Iraklis to win40%2.492.25-9.7%
A Draw29%3.492.95-15.5%
Levadiakos to win27%3.693.35-9.3%
Over 2.5 goals38%2.642.30-13.0%
Under 2.5 goals56%1.771.54-13.0%
Iraklis -0.540%2.482.10-15.3%
Levadiakos +0.554%1.861.59-14.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.47
Over 2.5 goals41%2.46
Over 3.5 goals20%4.94
Both teams to score47%2.13
Iraklis or Draw72%1.39
Levadiakos or Draw57%1.75
Iraklis to win and Over 2.522%4.53
Levadiakos to win and Over 2.514%7.34
Iraklis clean sheet37%2.72
Levadiakos clean sheet27%3.69

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%
1-012.2%
0-010.7%
0-19.2%
2-18.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Iraklis vs Levadiakos?

Our prediction for Iraklis vs Levadiakos is Iraklis to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Iraklis vs Levadiakos?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Iraklis to score 1.3 goals and Levadiakos 1.0.

Will both teams score in Iraklis vs Levadiakos?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Iraklis last 5 games and 7 of Levadiakos last 20.

How are Iraklis playing?

Iraklis have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 games, with 4 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 1. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Levadiakos playing?

Levadiakos have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Iraklis vs Levadiakos?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Iraklis against Levadiakos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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