Predictions › Greece › Iraklis vs Panathinaikos
Greek Super LeagueSun 8 Nov, 15:30 Greece time

Iraklis vs Panathinaikos prediction

Kaftanzoglio Ethniko Stadio

IraklisHome
1.01 : 1.23
expected goals
PanathinaikosAway
29%Iraklis
30%Draw
41%Panathinaikos
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Iraklis vs Panathinaikos is Panathinaikos to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Panathinaikos to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Iraklis 1.0, Panathinaikos 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.141 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Iraklis 29%, the draw 30% and Panathinaikos 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Iraklis took 5 points from their last 5 games and Panathinaikos took 12 from 5. Panathinaikos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Iraklis won 1 of their last 3 games at home. Panathinaikos won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Iraklis score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Panathinaikos score 1.6 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Iraklis games and 10 of Panathinaikos games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Panathinaikosrecent form+3%
Iraklis form D L W D DPanathinaikos form D W W W LHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Iraklis vs Panathinaikos: Panathinaikos shade it

The big picture

Iraklis host Panathinaikos in the Greek Super League on Sun 8 Nov, 15:30 at Kaftanzoglio Ethniko Stadio. Our prediction for Iraklis vs Panathinaikos is Panathinaikos to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

Iraklis form

Iraklis have 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 games, with 9 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Panathinaikos form

Panathinaikos have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Iraklis to score about 1.0 goals and Panathinaikos about 1.2. That points to Panathinaikos to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.14.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

IraklisPanathinaikos
Games played820
Wins211
Draws34
Losses35
Goals scored931
Goals conceded1118
Scored per game1.11.6
Conceded per game1.40.9
Home record1W 1D 1L6W 3D 1L
Away record1W 2D 2L5W 1D 4L
Clean sheets38%40%
Both teams scored50%40%
Over 2.5 goals38%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals66%1.51
Over 2.5 goals39%2.58
Over 3.5 goals19%5.31
Both teams to score46%2.19
Iraklis or Draw59%1.68
Panathinaikos or Draw71%1.41
Iraklis to win and Over 2.514%7.17
Panathinaikos to win and Over 2.520%4.98
Iraklis clean sheet29%3.43
Panathinaikos clean sheet37%2.73

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
0-112.3%
0-011.5%
1-09.9%
1-28.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Iraklis vs Panathinaikos?

Our prediction for Iraklis vs Panathinaikos is Panathinaikos to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Iraklis vs Panathinaikos?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Iraklis to score 1.0 goals and Panathinaikos 1.2.

Will both teams score in Iraklis vs Panathinaikos?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of Iraklis last 8 games and 8 of Panathinaikos last 20.

How are Iraklis playing?

Iraklis have 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 games, with 9 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Panathinaikos playing?

Panathinaikos have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Iraklis vs Panathinaikos?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Iraklis against Panathinaikos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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