Predictions › Turkey › Istanbul Basaksehir vs Gaziantep FK

Super LigSun 18 Oct, 16:00 Turkey time

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Gaziantep FK prediction

Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium

Istanbul BasaksehirHome

2.10 : 1.12

expected goals

Gaziantep FKAway

59%Istanbul BB

22%Draw

19%Gaziantep

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Istanbul Basaksehir vs Gaziantep FK is Istanbul Basaksehir to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction: Istanbul Basaksehir to win
Chance: 59%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Istanbul Basaksehir 2.1, Gaziantep FK 1.1
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score: 60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

81% chanceFair price 1.232 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Istanbul Basaksehir to win and Over 2.5

40% chanceFair price 2.521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Istanbul Basaksehir 59%, the draw 22% and Gaziantep FK 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Istanbul Basaksehir took 4 points from their last 5 games and Gaziantep FK took 7 from 5. Gaziantep FK come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Istanbul Basaksehir won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Gaziantep FK won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Istanbul Basaksehir score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.3. Gaziantep FK score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Istanbul Basaksehir games and 12 of Gaziantep FK games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Istanbul Basaksehir won 2 and Gaziantep FK won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Gaziantep FK 1, Istanbul Basaksehir 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Istanbul BBrecent form-3%

Istanbul BB form W L L D LGaziantep form L D W L WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Gaziantep FK: Istanbul Basaksehir are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Istanbul Basaksehir host Gaziantep FK in the Super Lig on Sun 18 Oct, 16:00 at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium. Our prediction for Istanbul Basaksehir vs Gaziantep FK is Istanbul Basaksehir to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Istanbul Basaksehir form

Istanbul Basaksehir have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Gaziantep FK form

Gaziantep FK have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Istanbul Basaksehir won 2, Gaziantep FK won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Gaziantep FK 1, Istanbul Basaksehir 2.

Our call

We expect Istanbul Basaksehir to score about 2.1 goals and Gaziantep FK about 1.1. That points to Istanbul Basaksehir to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Istanbul Basaksehir to win and Over 2.5 at 2.52.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Istanbul BB	Gaziantep
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	5
Draws	4	5
Losses	6	10
Goals scored	34	23
Goals conceded	25	31
Scored per game	1.7	1.1
Conceded per game	1.3	1.6
Home record	7W 2D 2L	2W 4D 4L
Away record	3W 2D 4L	3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets	40%	20%
Both teams scored	50%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	84%	1.20
Over 2.5 goals	62%	1.60
Over 3.5 goals	40%	2.49
Both teams to score	60%	1.67
Istanbul Basaksehir or Draw	81%	1.24
Gaziantep FK or Draw	41%	2.45
Istanbul Basaksehir to win and Over 2.5	43%	2.35
Gaziantep FK to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.90
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet	33%	3.07
Gaziantep FK clean sheet	12%	8.13

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.0%

2-19.9%

2-08.8%

1-07.8%

3-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Istanbul Basaksehir vs Gaziantep FK?

Our prediction for Istanbul Basaksehir vs Gaziantep FK is Istanbul Basaksehir to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Istanbul Basaksehir vs Gaziantep FK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Istanbul Basaksehir to score 2.1 goals and Gaziantep FK 1.1.

Will both teams score in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Gaziantep FK?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Istanbul Basaksehir last 20 games and 12 of Gaziantep FK last 20.

How are Istanbul Basaksehir playing?

How are Gaziantep FK playing?

What happened when Istanbul Basaksehir and Gaziantep FK last met?

It ended Gaziantep FK 1, Istanbul Basaksehir 2. In the last 2 meetings Istanbul Basaksehir won 2 and Gaziantep FK won 0.

What is the best bet for Istanbul Basaksehir vs Gaziantep FK?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Istanbul BB against Gaziantep. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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