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Predictions › Turkey › Istanbul Basaksehir vs Samsunspor
Super LigSun 1 Nov, 13:00 Turkey time

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Samsunspor prediction

Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium

Istanbul BasaksehirHome
2.28 : 0.95
expected goals
SamsunsporAway
67%Istanbul BB
19%Draw
14%Samsunspor
Eagle safe pickIstanbul Basaksehir or Draw
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Istanbul Basaksehir vs Samsunspor is Istanbul Basaksehir to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Istanbul Basaksehir or Draw at 1.17.

Prediction
Istanbul Basaksehir to win
Chance
67%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Istanbul Basaksehir 2.3, Samsunspor 0.9
Best bet
Istanbul Basaksehir or Draw at 1.17
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Istanbul Basaksehir or Draw
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Istanbul Basaksehir to win and both score
32% chanceFair price 3.151 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Istanbul Basaksehir 67%, the draw 19% and Samsunspor 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Istanbul Basaksehir took 7 points from their last 5 games and Samsunspor took 0 from 5. Istanbul Basaksehir come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Istanbul Basaksehir won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Samsunspor won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Istanbul Basaksehir score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Samsunspor score 1.5 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Istanbul Basaksehir games and 15 of Samsunspor games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Istanbul Basaksehir won 2 and Samsunspor won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Istanbul Basaksehir 3, Samsunspor 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Istanbul Basaksehir or Draw has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Istanbul BBrecent form-1%
  • Samsunsporrecent form-6%
Istanbul BB form D D W L LSamsunspor form D L L L LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Samsunspor: Istanbul Basaksehir are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Istanbul Basaksehir host Samsunspor in the Super Lig on Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium. Our prediction for Istanbul Basaksehir vs Samsunspor is Istanbul Basaksehir to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Istanbul Basaksehir or Draw at 1.17.

Istanbul Basaksehir form

Istanbul Basaksehir have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Samsunspor form

Samsunspor have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Istanbul Basaksehir won 2, Samsunspor won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Istanbul Basaksehir 3, Samsunspor 0.

Our call

We expect Istanbul Basaksehir to score about 2.3 goals and Samsunspor about 0.9. That points to Istanbul Basaksehir to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Istanbul Basaksehir or Draw at 1.17. Our bold bet is Istanbul Basaksehir to win and both score at 3.15.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Istanbul BBSamsunspor
Games played2020
Wins108
Draws52
Losses510
Goals scored3230
Goals conceded2240
Scored per game1.61.5
Conceded per game1.12.0
Home record8W 2D 1L4W 2D 4L
Away record2W 3D 4L4W 0D 6L
Clean sheets45%15%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.60
Over 3.5 goals40%2.47
Both teams to score56%1.80
Istanbul Basaksehir or Draw86%1.16
Samsunspor or Draw33%3.00
Istanbul Basaksehir to win and Over 2.548%2.09
Samsunspor to win and Over 2.59%11.42
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet39%2.59
Samsunspor clean sheet10%9.77

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.3%
2-19.8%
1-19.1%
1-08.5%
3-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Istanbul Basaksehir vs Samsunspor?

Our prediction for Istanbul Basaksehir vs Samsunspor is Istanbul Basaksehir to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Istanbul Basaksehir or Draw at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Istanbul Basaksehir vs Samsunspor?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect Istanbul Basaksehir to score 2.3 goals and Samsunspor 0.9.

Will both teams score in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Samsunspor?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Istanbul Basaksehir last 20 games and 12 of Samsunspor last 20.

How are Istanbul Basaksehir playing?

Istanbul Basaksehir have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Samsunspor playing?

Samsunspor have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Istanbul Basaksehir and Samsunspor last met?

It ended Istanbul Basaksehir 3, Samsunspor 0. In the last 2 meetings Istanbul Basaksehir won 2 and Samsunspor won 0.

What is the best bet for Istanbul Basaksehir vs Samsunspor?

Istanbul Basaksehir or Draw at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Istanbul BB against Samsunspor. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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