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Predictions › United States › Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies
College FootballWed 28 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies prediction

Aggie Memorial Stadium

Jacksonville State GamecocksAway
22.9 : 29.8
projected points
New Mexico State AggiesHome
34%Jax State
66%New Mexico St
Eagle safe pickNew Mexico St +3.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies is New Mexico State Aggies to win, with a 66% chance. We project Jacksonville State Gamecocks 22.9 and New Mexico State Aggies 29.8. Our best bet is New Mexico St +3.5 at -303.

Prediction
New Mexico State Aggies to win
Chance
66%
Projected score
Jacksonville State Gamecocks 23, New Mexico State Aggies 30
Projected total
52.7 points
Best bet
New Mexico St +3.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

New Mexico St +3.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Jax State to win
32% chanceFair price +2091 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New Mexico State Aggies 66% and Jacksonville State Gamecocks 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New Mexico State Aggies won 2 of their last 5 and Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 4 of their last 5. Jacksonville State Gamecocks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New Mexico State Aggies won 3 of their last 7 games at home. Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New Mexico State Aggies score 22.6 points a game and let in 29.3. Jacksonville State Gamecocks score 28.5 and let in 24.8. Their recent games average 51.8 and 53.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    New Mexico St +3.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies: New Mexico State Aggies are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New Mexico State Aggies host Jacksonville State Gamecocks in the College Football on Wed 28 Oct, 20:00 at Aggie Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies is New Mexico State Aggies to win, with a 66% chance. We project Jacksonville State Gamecocks 22.9 and New Mexico State Aggies 29.8. Our best bet is New Mexico St +3.5 at -303.

New Mexico State Aggies form

New Mexico State Aggies have 4 wins and 12 losses in their last 16 games, with 361 points scored and 468 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks form

Jacksonville State Gamecocks have 13 wins and 6 losses in their last 19 games, with 541 points scored and 471 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Jacksonville State Gamecocks to score about 22.9 points and New Mexico State Aggies about 29.8. That points to New Mexico State Aggies to win. Our safest bet is New Mexico St +3.5 at -303. Our bold bet is Jax State to win at +209.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

New Mexico StJax State
Games played1619
Wins413
Losses126
Points scored361541
Points conceded468471
Scored per game22.628.5
Conceded per game29.324.8
Home record3W 4L9W 1L
Away record1W 8L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

New Mexico St spreadCoversFair
New Mexico St -13.534%+195
New Mexico St -9.543%+130
New Mexico St -6.551%-103
New Mexico St -3.558%-140
New Mexico St +0.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
45.567%33%
49.558%42%
52.550%50%
55.543%57%
59.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. New Mexico St +3.5 wins if New Mexico St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies?

Our prediction for Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies is New Mexico State Aggies to win, with a 66% chance. We project Jacksonville State Gamecocks 22.9 and New Mexico State Aggies 29.8. Our best bet is New Mexico St +3.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies?

We project Jacksonville State Gamecocks 22.9 and New Mexico State Aggies 29.8, about 52.7 points in total.

How are New Mexico State Aggies playing?

New Mexico State Aggies have 4 wins and 12 losses in their last 16 games, with 361 points scored and 468 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Jacksonville State Gamecocks playing?

Jacksonville State Gamecocks have 13 wins and 6 losses in their last 19 games, with 541 points scored and 471 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies?

New Mexico St +3.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in New Mexico St against Jax State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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