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Predictions › United States › Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 15:30 United States time

Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers prediction

Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium

Jacksonville State GamecocksAway
21.3 : 27.2
projected points
Western Kentucky HilltoppersHome
38%Jax State
62%Western KY
Eagle safe pickWestern KY +4.5
-306

Quick answer

Our prediction for Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers is Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win, with a 62% chance. We project Jacksonville State Gamecocks 21.3 and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 27.2. Our best bet is Western KY +4.5 at -306.

Prediction
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win
Chance
62%
Projected score
Jacksonville State Gamecocks 21, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 27
Projected total
48.5 points
Best bet
Western KY +4.5 at -306

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Western KY +4.5
75% chanceFair price -3062 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Jax State to win
35% chanceFair price +1881 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 62% and Jacksonville State Gamecocks 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 3 of their last 5 and Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 5 of their last 5. Jacksonville State Gamecocks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 5 of their last 7 games at home. Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Western Kentucky Hilltoppers score 24.3 points a game and let in 26.2. Jacksonville State Gamecocks score 28.3 and let in 23.6. Their recent games average 50.4 and 51.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 0 and Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 1. The last one ended Jacksonville State Gamecocks 37, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 34.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Western KY +4.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers host Jacksonville State Gamecocks in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 15:30 at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium. Our prediction for Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers is Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win, with a 62% chance. We project Jacksonville State Gamecocks 21.3 and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 27.2. Our best bet is Western KY +4.5 at -306.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers form

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have 10 wins and 8 losses in their last 18 games, with 437 points scored and 471 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks form

Jacksonville State Gamecocks have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 565 points scored and 471 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 0, Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 1. Last time out it finished Jacksonville State Gamecocks 37, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 34.

Our call

We expect Jacksonville State Gamecocks to score about 21.3 points and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers about 27.2. That points to Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win. Our safest bet is Western KY +4.5 at -306. Our bold bet is Jax State to win at +188.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Western KYJax State
Games played1820
Wins1014
Losses86
Points scored437565
Points conceded471471
Scored per game24.328.3
Conceded per game26.223.6
Home record5W 2L9W 1L
Away record5W 6L5W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Western KY spreadCoversFair
Western KY -12.534%+194
Western KY -8.544%+130
Western KY -5.551%-104
Western KY -2.558%-140
Western KY +1.568%-211
Total pointsOverUnder
41.567%33%
45.558%42%
48.550%50%
51.543%57%
55.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Western KY +3.5 wins if Western KY win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers?

Our prediction for Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers is Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win, with a 62% chance. We project Jacksonville State Gamecocks 21.3 and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 27.2. Our best bet is Western KY +4.5 at -306.

What is the projected score for Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers?

We project Jacksonville State Gamecocks 21.3 and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 27.2, about 48.5 points in total.

How are Western Kentucky Hilltoppers playing?

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have 10 wins and 8 losses in their last 18 games, with 437 points scored and 471 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Jacksonville State Gamecocks playing?

Jacksonville State Gamecocks have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 565 points scored and 471 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and Jacksonville State Gamecocks last met?

It ended Jacksonville State Gamecocks 37, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 34. In the last 1 meeting Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 0 and Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 1.

What is the best bet for Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers?

Western KY +4.5 at -306, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Western KY against Jax State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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